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I'm plumping for "the same reason we all try and predict football scores on a Saturday morning"

I can see a fairly similar picture to posts 1 and 2. Tories to win the popular vote, Labour to have most seats, neither close to a proper majority, fresh election in the autumn. Where I differ is who will side with who. Tories / Unionists / UKIP are one natural alliance. Labour could look for...