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I agree. The worst possible results, IMHO, are a majority government for either the Tories or Labour. Don't get me wrong - the Lib Dems have nodded through some pretty awful Tory decisions, but I am absolutely certain that had we instead had a Tory majority government since 2010 things would be...

The TV debates are now set to feature SEVEN parties, with the Greens, SNP & Plaid Cymru all being invited: http://www.theguardian.com/media/2015/jan/22/bbc-and-itv-set-to-expand-party-leader-debates-to-include-greens-snp-and-plaid-cymru We're still behind Sweden though - they had eight in theirs...

By itself, it wont - the 1951 election you mention gave the Tories a majority so they had no motivation to do anything. However if it happens, leaving neither party with a majority then they'll both try to claim they have a mandate to form a government (either a minority one or by forming a...

I see what you mean, but I wonder if Caroline Lucas winning last time could make the difference. They are sensibly concentrating on a small number of seats - and if a large part of the campaign is making the argument "We really do have a chance here" I reckon they could well pick up a few seats...

If you put faith in them knowing their stuff, the bookies have Caroline Lucas as short as 8/15 to keep her seat. Mind you, they have Clegg at 1/3 to keep his and everyone keeps saying that's under threat - so either the press & public don't really know much, or there's some cracking value to...

I'm no happier than you that Ashcroft's poll shows the Tories in the lead but - genuine question - why does the ICM seem more 'reasonable' - is it just because Labour are leading? As an aside - the average from both polls has both the Libs and Greens tied on 10%. The "Green Surge" does seem to...

Obviously gambling is far down the list of important things this election, but it's interesting how the betting markets have absolutely no clue what is even likely to happen in May: When the shortest odds are on "Any Other", you know it's all up in the air...

Indeed - but if those figures come from polling in individual seats they may be more reliable. The further complication is the SNP - them only standing in Scotland presumably makes the whole game of applying National swings to individual seats even more complicated...

Bloody hell, that would be an absolute mess. "National Unity Government" (which would never happen) aside, no two parties can form a majority and even then both Lab & Con would have a go at claiming they deserve to try and create one. Whatever Government was created would surely collapse within...