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Do you seriously think Reform members wouldn’t elect Farage by a huge majority? Didn’t he found the party? Tice has obviously begged him to take over. It will boost their vote no end. Probably good news for Labour and LibDems in that it will split the Tory vote yet further. In Eastbourne for...

Hard to predict. I think some current would-be Labour voters will certainly switch to Farage but equally, some latent Labour supporters and some who’d planned not to vote will now vote against Farage. These demographics might well cancel each other out. The big question for me is what happens to...

Eh? Labour have no electoral presence in Clacton and with Farage standing, their vote will be squeezed further. This is the seat that UKIP actually had an MP elected. After Carswell stood down it reverted to Tory. I think Farage might actually win here. All depends on where the Tory vote goes...

TBF, the war in Ukraine has had a massive economic impact on Europe as a whole by pushing fuel prices through the roof. This government must be held accountable for all sorts of things but it can’t be denied that Ukraine has caused major economic turbulence everywhere. Iraq and Afghanistan have...

Either I see too much social media, or (more likely) I see the world through a different lens. I've no great commitment to any party whereas I suspect you might. This is absolutely not a criticism. Think what you want. But I've been fascinated by politics since 1970 (and did a degree in it as it...

I don't really know quite what you're referring to. I think UK politics is pretty toxic on all sides. People on both left and right (I don't like these lablels but accept them for the moment) are mostly obstinate and convinced that their perspective represents a sort of decent, common-sense...

They were mentioned, yes. I think it was Vallance who said that DC had used these words. Cummings was by this time quite anti-Johnson/Sunak so I’m presuming he’s describing the attitude rather than verbatim. But TBH, I’ve not followed the enquiry closely. I’ll wait till the report.

No, I don’t see any evidence of editorial coordination but there again, I admit I almost never read these papers except in the supermarket when I can’t help scanning across the front pages. People firmly defend the line that the other side of the line from them, politically speaking, are the...

According to a note from Dominic Cummings, not the enquiry.

This won’t happen. I mean, yes, results almost certainly WILL be bad but there won’t be any rebellion so close to a general election. For one thing, the Tory ‘frothers' may do the usual briefings but there are nowhere near enough of them to force a leadership election. Second, the frequency of...

I wouldn’t include the Times so readily. I subscribed to the Times for a long time, until I decided the subs were too high, but I was constantly struck by how critical of the Tories they are. Just look at today's headlines which are all about the tax increases and no focus on what Hunt would...