I've not watched any of The Hundred. The branding is obnoxious (who picked those colour combos?!), and for me it's answering a question that Twenty20 had already solved well enough - and The Hundred is doing it in a more complicated way, which just makes it even more wrong.
I agree. I thought...
Min 30 overs to go, 88 runs to get. Australia run rate for the innings is 2.92, but for the last 10 overs is just 1.30.
Australia will need to accelerate the scoring (and possibly take more risks doing so) to force the win, which could open the door for England. Especially given, IMO, another...
And? It's still a long tail, and Boland got 20 because England forgot how they got him in the first innings. Aussies lost their last 4 for not much in the first innings, having looked like dead-certs to take a decent first innings lead. IMO, if the bowlers get 2 they'll have the next 3 not long...
Let's not forget that Warner and Khawaja got off to a good start in the first innings as well, before 2 balls completely changed the picture.
The England attack has enough quality to completely change this with an inspired spell from someone. 280 is still a big target, even with the first 60...
My feeling is that this could go either way. England will need to take their chances, though - Bairstow's performance with the gloves could be the difference.