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[Politics] Donald Trump, US President

Who will win the 2024 Presidential Election?

  • President Joe Biden - Democrat

    Votes: 3 0.7%
  • Donald Trump - Republican

    Votes: 175 42.3%
  • Vice President, Kamala Harris - Democrat

    Votes: 216 52.2%
  • Other Democratic candidate tbc

    Votes: 20 4.8%

  • Total voters
    414
  • Poll closed .


Stato

Well-known member
Dec 21, 2011
7,722
I've never felt the need to apologise for being British.
Could I recommend a book?

1745849056778.png
 






Brian Munich

teH lulZ
Jul 7, 2008
856
Last week I was in a restuarant in Angers, France and got talking to an American couple on a holiday. They kept apologising for being American and that they did their bit to try and stop Trump winning. Now we've had our own shit leaders in the UK but I've never felt the need to apologise for being British.
Wait until Farage wins our GE in 4 years time.

Don't think it can happen? Reform are only polling about 5-6% short of the percentage of the popular vote that electoral calculus has estimated they need for a parliamentary majority.
 








bhafc99

Well-known member
Oct 14, 2003
7,706
Dubai
Quite the turnaround for the Liberal Party. Trudeau had become unpopular, and Carney undoubtedly appealed more to voters, but a LOT of this has got to be down to Canadians pushing back against Trump and his “51st state”/tariffs agenda. Great to see.
 


Herr Tubthumper

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 11, 2003
64,911
The Fatherland
Quite the turnaround for the Liberal Party. Trudeau had become unpopular, and Carney undoubtedly appealed more to voters, but a LOT of this has got to be down to Canadians pushing back against Trump and his “51st state”/tariffs agenda. Great to see.
It’s going to be fun watching Carney against Trump. He’s a smart, straight talking and strong cookie and will not pander to Trump’s bullshit. He’ll out smart Trump at every turn, all Trump will have is his name calling and his “failed” prefix.

Glad he won.
 






highflyer

Well-known member
Jan 21, 2016
2,719
Carney has won on the backlash to Trump. Not on who he is or what his internal policies will be. He's head of a party which is unpopular and he is very much a centre right, paid up member of 'the establishment'. He simply does not have the solutions to the problems that made Trudeau so unpopular. Basically hes's another Starmer/Macron/Biden (all of whom won with little real enthusiasm from voters, but via the path of 'not being as bad as the alternative'). Like those other centre right Western leaders I'd predict he's going to become unpopulular and potentially open the door to a far more nationalist/right wing options in future. All that said, the next few years are likely to be a bit different from the last few years, and an external threat can do wonders for a leaders popularity (see Churchill, Zelensky, Thatcher) so who knows. He may yet be forced into actions he is not instinctively comfortable with.
 


Zeberdi

“Vorsprung durch Technik”
NSC Patron
Oct 20, 2022
8,296
IMG_1490.jpeg
 


Hugo Rune

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Feb 23, 2012
24,740
Brighton
Carney has won on the backlash to Trump. Not on who he is or what his internal policies will be. He's head of a party which is unpopular and he is very much a centre right, paid up member of 'the establishment'. He simply does not have the solutions to the problems that made Trudeau so unpopular. Basically hes's another Starmer/Macron/Biden (all of whom won with little real enthusiasm from voters, but via the path of 'not being as bad as the alternative'). Like those other centre right Western leaders I'd predict he's going to become unpopulular and potentially open the door to a far more nationalist/right wing options in future. All that said, the next few years are likely to be a bit different from the last few years, and an external threat can do wonders for a leaders popularity (see Churchill, Zelensky, Thatcher) so who knows. He may yet be forced into actions he is not instinctively comfortable with.
If you are anti-establishment, the profound failure of right wing populists like Johnson, Truss and Trump is going to ensure that establishment politics get elected in the west for generations.

Like all politicians who are 'around too long' Trudeau became unpopular. The fact that his party is going to win implies that it was him personally the voters got tired with and not the party and policies.

This is a shame to an extent, because the US could do with a Bernie Saunders.
 




Herr Tubthumper

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 11, 2003
64,911
The Fatherland
Carney has won on the backlash to Trump. Not on who he is or what his internal policies will be. He's head of a party which is unpopular and he is very much a centre right, paid up member of 'the establishment'. He simply does not have the solutions to the problems that made Trudeau so unpopular. Basically hes's another Starmer/Macron/Biden (all of whom won with little real enthusiasm from voters, but via the path of 'not being as bad as the alternative'). Like those other centre right Western leaders I'd predict he's going to become unpopulular and potentially open the door to a far more nationalist/right wing options in future. All that said, the next few years are likely to be a bit different from the last few years, and an external threat can do wonders for a leaders popularity (see Churchill, Zelensky, Thatcher) so who knows. He may yet be forced into actions he is not instinctively comfortable with.
It's quite clear he won (partly) due to the current political situation with the US. Looking at the turn-out it's without doubt a 'reaction', to both the previous government and anti-Trump sentiment. But, all things considered I'm pleased he has won and look forward to him dealing with Trump.
 


A1X

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 1, 2017
22,525
Deepest, darkest Sussex


The changes once Trump suddenly started banging on about making Canada the 51st state in January are stark
 


fly high

Well-known member
Aug 25, 2011
2,285
in a house


The changes once Trump suddenly started banging on about making Canada the 51st state in January are stark

Trump playing a brilliant game, say everything he wants to do knowing people will do the opposite. Result.
 




highflyer

Well-known member
Jan 21, 2016
2,719
If you are anti-establishment, the profound failure of right wing populists like Johnson, Truss and Trump is going to ensure that establishment politics get elected in the west for generations.

Like all politicians who are 'around too long' Trudeau became unpopular. The fact that his party is going to win implies that it was him personally the voters got tired with and not the party and policies.

This is a shame to an extent, because the US could do with a Bernie Saunders.

I really don't think Carney wins without the Trump effect. It sounds to me that Trudeau became unpopular for the same reasons that Macron, Biden and now Starmer became unpopular. Cost of living going up, salaries not keeping pace, the rich becoming richer, workers rights eroded, the environment degraded, the states ability to provide essential services reduced and a managerial approach to government with no obvious actions to actually change things. So I don't think it was just Trudeau's personality that caused the Liberals to lose popularity, as insufferable as he could be at times!

The collapse of the NDP and Greens is not good. And could actually play well for the Trump brigade long-term. Without a left opposition, the alternative to Carney (should my prediction above prove correct) will be a far right populist rather than centre left/green.

But all this assumes that the trends of the last decade is a good predictor of the next decade. Which it probably isn't.
 


The Clamp

Well-known member
Jan 11, 2016
27,129
West is BEST
Well, no leader in any country is going to do well anymore.

They face problems that can’t be fixed or there’s no will to fix. Or both.



The climate. The 1%. Workers rights.

To me, it’s a given that humans probably have less than a hundred years left of existence and those 100 years are going to be filled with pain, fear, and unimaginable suffering on a global scale.

If we don’t blow each other up first.

So it’s good news that there is someone in Canada that will tell Trump to do one.

I suppose.
 


Bakero

Languidly clinical
Oct 9, 2010
15,603
Almería
Well, no leader in any country is going to do well anymore.

They face problems that can’t be fixed or there’s no will to fix. Or both.



The climate. The 1%. Workers rights.

To me, it’s a given that humans probably have less than a hundred years left of existence and those 100 years are going to be filled with pain, fear, and unimaginable suffering on a global scale.

If we don’t blow each other up first.

This is the kind of motivational pep talk I need on a Tuesday morning :lolol:
 








BBassic

I changed this.
Jul 28, 2011
13,652
I've never felt the need to apologise for being British.
I didn't apologise but in the weeks immediately following the Brexit vote I found myself in a bar in Berlin explaining to some locals that I too had no idea why the country was doing it had decided to do.
 


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