Got something to say or just want fewer pesky ads? Join us... 😊

[Politics] Donald Trump, US President

Who will win the 2024 Presidential Election?

  • President Joe Biden - Democrat

    Votes: 3 0.7%
  • Donald Trump - Republican

    Votes: 175 42.3%
  • Vice President, Kamala Harris - Democrat

    Votes: 216 52.2%
  • Other Democratic candidate tbc

    Votes: 20 4.8%

  • Total voters
    414
  • Poll closed .


Harry Wilson's tackle

Harry Wilson's Tackle
NSC Patron
Oct 8, 2003
59,650
Faversham
Frighteningly, a Farage government is not beyond possibility under our current voting system. He’d win more seats with PR, but have zero chance of ever being in power.
Luckily (sorry, libdums and Greenies) we don't have PR.
Because FPTP keep the nutters out.


And.... exhale.
 




Brian Munich

teH lulZ
Jul 7, 2008
856
Luckily (sorry, libdums and Greenies) we don't have PR.
Because FPTP keep the nutters out.


And.... exhale.
Are you not getting it? FPTP doesn’t keep nutters out; it prevents smaller parties - the sort that might get 10-15% of the national popular vote - from getting their representative share of MPs. Once they reach a tipping point (around 20%), all those 2nd places turn into wins and they start to get a greater percentage of MPs in Westminster than their national vote percentage.

Reform are currently polling in the mid 20s. Are you going to be happy with FPTP when Russian interference increases that to the low 30s and allows them to form a majority government?

Just in case you think I’m scare mongering, this link is Electoral Calculus’s analysis showing Reform need approx 31% for a majority:

 
Last edited:


Westdene Seagull

aka Cap'n Carl Firecrotch
NSC Patron
Oct 27, 2003
21,838
The arse end of Hangleton
The UK was run perfectly well previously without all these DEI policies so I don’t think it will be the big loss that some people may think. The idea is good in principle but like many things has become difficult to manage and open to abuse in practise.

You need to trust the leaders /managers etc to simply use good judgement.
Says a straight, fully able, British white male.
 




Peteinblack

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jun 3, 2004
4,421
Bath, Somerset.




Green Cross Code Man

Wunt be druv
Mar 30, 2006
21,149
Eastbourne
All this talk about Farage, but he can't be that keen on the Trump administration at the moment. Musk tried to throw him under the bus and then Trump's stance on Ukraine has led Farage to distance himself from it. He is a populist and and knows that the Ukraine issue is not a vote winner.
 


Peteinblack

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jun 3, 2004
4,421
Bath, Somerset.
The UK was run perfectly well previously without all these DEI policies so I don’t think it will be the big loss that some people may think. The idea is good in principle but like many things has become difficult to manage and open to abuse in practise.

You need to trust the leaders /managers etc to simply use good judgement.
You mean that because you never suffered from racism, homophobia, or sexism in your workplace, discrimination doesn't exist, but is entirely manufactured by the Woke?

And as for trusting managers, we have lots of awful management in Britain - have you already forgotten about how the Post Office managers stitched-up their sub-postmasters, how the management of the water companies happily allow millions of tons of raw sewage to be discharged into our rivers while handing themselves £ millions in bonuses and dividends, or how companies like Amazon and Sports Direct treat their staff - "No you can't have a toilet break, piss in a bottle instead while you continue working."
 
Last edited:


Bakero

Languidly clinical
Oct 9, 2010
15,603
Almería
Because Britain is entirely populated by racist mysogynistic bigots?

Who said that?

What is true is that most companies were run by white men who often chose to hire and promote those who looked like them.

In 2001, female representation on FTSE 100 boards was around 6%. By 2023, that had risen to over 40%.

In 2014, 7% of FTSE 100 board members were from ethnic minority backgrounds. By 2021, it was 15%.

Would this have happened without the 2010 Equality Act and the targets set by the Parker Review in 2015?
 




A1X

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 1, 2017
22,525
Deepest, darkest Sussex
The UK was run perfectly well previously without all these DEI policies so I don’t think it will be the big loss that some people may think. The idea is good in principle but like many things has become difficult to manage and open to abuse in practise.

You need to trust the leaders /managers etc to simply use good judgement.
I appreciate this is a sensitive question and don’t feel you have to answer it (this is, after all, a safe space for everyone), but do you mind telling us which DEI category you fall under to make this judgement? You can be as vague as you like.
 


Westdene Seagull

aka Cap'n Carl Firecrotch
NSC Patron
Oct 27, 2003
21,838
The arse end of Hangleton
Because Britain is entirely populated by racist mysogynistic bigots?
Really not sure how you got that from my post. I assume you don't agree with diversity policies ?
 


Weststander

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Aug 25, 2011
72,403
Withdean area
All this talk about Farage, but he can't be that keen on the Trump administration at the moment. Musk tried to throw him under the bus and then Trump's stance on Ukraine has led Farage to distance himself from it. He is a populist and and knows that the Ukraine issue is not a vote winner.

It was always going to end or diminish, Thunderbirds Parker with his three MP’s, a global irrelevance.
 




WATFORD zero

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 10, 2003
29,014
It was always going to end or diminish, Thunderbirds Parker with his three MP’s, a global irrelevance.

But those c20% will still be blindly stumbling around putting their crosses where their latest Twitter/Facebook/News article/Mate/Russian bot/etc tells them to.

Now it's been shown how to target a certain sector of the electorate successfully, I think that sadly that's not going to go away. And as pointed out above, in a FPTP system that is worryingly close to what's needed for absolute power :down:
 


Brian Munich

teH lulZ
Jul 7, 2008
856
It was always going to end or diminish, Thunderbirds Parker with his three MP’s, a global irrelevance.
For now. However, despite everything, the populist grift continues and they are currently leading in the national opinion polls.

4 years is a long time to the GE, but I guarantee you that it’ll be 4 years of misinformation spread by shady sources and lapped up by the 50+ demographic who will believe anything they read on Facebook.
 


BadFish

Huge Member
Oct 19, 2003
19,718
The UK was run perfectly well previously without all these DEI policies so I don’t think it will be the big loss that some people may think. The idea is good in principle but like many things has become difficult to manage and open to abuse in practise.
But it wasn't well run was it, people from minorities were finding it hard to get the jobs they were qualified for.

That's why they were introduced.

I mean, think what you like about the policies themselves but let's not rewrite history.

You need to trust the leaders /managers etc to simply use good judgement.

This sounds like a spectacularly daft idea. It is hard to imagine advocating for less scrutiny for leaders on a thread about Donald Trump but here you are 🤣
 




fly high

Well-known member
Aug 25, 2011
2,285
in a house
For now. However, despite everything, the populist grift continues and they are currently leading in the national opinion polls.

4 years is a long time to the GE, but I guarantee you that it’ll be 4 years of misinformation spread by shady sources and lapped up by the 50+ demographic who will believe anything they read on Facebook.
I'm 50 + but think Reform & Farage are full of BS without any real policies. I would also say, from experience with 20 somethings, they are just a susceptible to what they read on the internet & will pontificate about things without any real indepth knowledge of the subject the are talking about.
 


Mellotron

I've asked for soup
Jul 2, 2008
32,952
Brighton
The UK was run perfectly well previously without all these DEI policies so I don’t think it will be the big loss that some people may think. The idea is good in principle but like many things has become difficult to manage and open to abuse in practise.

You need to trust the leaders /managers etc to simply use good judgement.
A TAD naive, perhaps.
 


Albion my Albion

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Feb 6, 2016
21,234
Indiana, USA
There is actually a small amount of pushback starting on the Republican side.


(Click on MSN)


GOP senators line up with Democrats to oppose Canada tariffs​


Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine) said Monday that she plans to back the resolution led by Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) that would terminate the national emergency Trump declared last month, citing fentanyl trafficking and illegal immigration. Trump has used that declaration to justify 25 percent across-the-board tariffs on America's northern neighbor and leading trade partner — duties that Trump has threatened to start levying later this week.

Collins is poised to join GOP Sens. Rand Paul of Kentucky, who is a co-sponsor of Kaine’s resolution and a strong opponent of tariffs, and Thom Tillis of North Carolina, who has also expressed concerns about Trump’s tariff plans for North American neighbors. Sen. Chuck Grassley of Iowa — one of many farm-state Republicans who has raised particular concerns about the Canadian tariffs — also said he was undecided on the Kaine resolution.
 


Harry Wilson's tackle

Harry Wilson's Tackle
NSC Patron
Oct 8, 2003
59,650
Faversham
Are you not getting it? FPTP doesn’t keep nutters out; it prevents smaller parties - the sort that might get 10-15% of the national popular vote - from getting their representative share of MPs. Once they reach a tipping point (around 20%), all those 2nd places turn into wins and they start to get a greater percentage of MPs in Westminster than their national vote percentage.

Reform are currently polling in the mid 20s. Are you going to be happy with FPTP when Russian interference increases that to the low 30s and allows them to form a majority government?

Just in case you think I’m scare mongering, this link is Electoral Calculus’s analysis showing Reform need approx 31% for a majority:

Is the latter (preventing smaller parties getting a representative share) not the former (keeping the nutters out)?
It was always said that Hitler got in on the back of having a few MPs, due to PR,
seeming legitimate because of it, but with FPTP and no MPs he'd have gone the way of the NF, BNP etc., here.

If there is a 'tipping point' it would simply come sooner with PR than with FPTP.

I know that numbers of seats does not map to number of votes in FPTP.
This is why supporters of small parties are always banging on about how unfair it all is.
With PR in the last election Farage would have won dozens of seats.

I'll stick with FPTP thanks.
If Farage eventually gets a majority via FPTP, I will have to accept he deserves it,
and that we the people deserve him.
 




Curious Orange

Punxsatawney Phil
Jul 5, 2003
10,505
On NSC for over two decades...
Really not sure how you got that from my post. I assume you don't agree with diversity policies ?

Your post read to me like you felt that this country was still some kind of intolerant backwater, which it clearly isn't. That annoys me, we live in a lovely, tolerant and welcoming country, and people from all over the world want to come and live and work here because it.

I am ambivalent about diversity policies in all honesty, and it rather depends on what those policies are for. I have no problem them being used as a tool for guiding how you conduct business, but I think that when they are applied to recruitment there is a danger that they can easily become discriminatory, in that company X employs person A because they are Y over person B, who is a better fit, because they aren't Y - being Y shouldn't ever be a deciding factor.
 


Harry Wilson's tackle

Harry Wilson's Tackle
NSC Patron
Oct 8, 2003
59,650
Faversham
Frighteningly, a Farage government is not beyond possibility under our current voting system. He’d win more seats with PR, but have zero chance of ever being in power.
I understand what you are saying. But to get into power he'd need to have his vote concentrated in winnable seats.
Presently his vote is spread evenly across the country,
which is why he has only 5 (or 4) seats).

His voter phenotype remains that of the protester, people who hate labour and the tories,
and people who never normally vote,
which is why it is spread evenly across the country.

Can you honestly see him getting majority support in more than half of constituencies to get a working majority?
I can't.
 


Albion and Premier League latest from Sky Sports


Top
Link Here