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[Politics] Russia invades Ukraine (24/02/2022)



Bodian

Well-known member
May 3, 2012
16,371
Cumbria
Maybe he hasn't said this in actual response to an incident? Maybe he has said it hypothetically / in advance of the ceasefire - and it's the journalists who have added it to the attack mentioned?
 




Eric the meek

Fiveways Wilf
NSC Patron
Aug 24, 2020
8,576
Maybe he hasn't said this in actual response to an incident? Maybe he has said it hypothetically / in advance of the ceasefire - and it's the journalists who have added it to the attack mentioned?
You and millions of others around the world are now trying to fill in the information gaps which should have been fiiied in by Trump.
 


SouthSaxon

Stand or fall
NSC Patron
Jan 25, 2025
887
It’s not just Zelenskyy toughening up the language after today’s summit in Paris.



The EU and UK confirmed it won’t be lifting the sanctions Russia attempted to tack onto the ceasefire. So Putin now needs to either back down or reject the deal.

Macron spoke about sending troops into Ukraine with or without the US.


Scholz also had strong words about lifting sanctions still being “quite far” away. Even the Estonian PM:

there is only one plan, Ukraine’s plan…Russia should have no say in Ukraine’s defence and security guarantees.

Mark Rutte, last seen chuckling nervously while Trump talked about starting NATO Avengers: Civil War, said this:



Mark Carney said this:



Since the London summit immediately after the Oval Office, it’s seemed like there’s been very close coordination between Ukraine, France and Britain. I think Zelenskyy said last week that he talks to Macron almost daily.

I’d guess today was a coordinated attempt to turn the screw on Trump and Putin’s “peace” talks. I wonder if Putin blundered in making a ceasefire conditional on those sanctions because it gave Europe the opportunity to basically veto the whole thing. Maybe.

Meanwhile, the Americans returned to their favourite subject, the minerals deal. It’s reaching levels of plunder the East India Company would be proud of.

 


cunning fergus

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jan 18, 2009
5,055
Can we not continue to import steel? What's the relevance of this to the thread?




Why are you being irreverent? It's like you're just here to mock everyone.
Now that European countries are finally getting round to implementing sensible defence policies, any country that cannot produce its own steel is surely going to be unable to deliver a genuinely credible defence policy of its own, let alone one that includes exports to allies.

As demonstrated by the recent change in leadership with the US, unless a country is truly independent industrially it will be susceptible to geo political events and the whims of other leaderships. For steel, that would likely mean the UK jumping into bed with the Chinese. I don’t need to spell out the potential issues there do I?

As I have referenced previously, the days of this country being a military power are in the past, and that’s been a direction of travel taken by our political establishment of all colours in recent decades. It’s not just a UK position either, as Trump demonstrated its largely continent wide. Our political leadership need to be honest about our military capability, as a nation we are not ready for conflict with another major industrial power.

Whether or not we want to cut the welfare and other budgets to reestablish that status is a fair political policy to put to the public. We won’t get there if we can’t produce our own steel though……………
 


GoldstoneVintage

Well-known member
Oct 20, 2024
661
Europe
🤡
Screenshot_2025-03-28-07-22-33-00_e4424258c8b8649f6e67d283a50a2cbc.jpg
https://www.bbc.com/news/live/crrdrw9gx8vt
 














rogersix

Well-known member
Jan 18, 2014
8,348
Now that European countries are finally getting round to implementing sensible defence policies, any country that cannot produce its own steel is surely going to be unable to deliver a genuinely credible defence policy of its own, let alone one that includes exports to allies.

As demonstrated by the recent change in leadership with the US, unless a country is truly independent industrially it will be susceptible to geo political events and the whims of other leaderships. For steel, that would likely mean the UK jumping into bed with the Chinese. I don’t need to spell out the potential issues there do I?

As I have referenced previously, the days of this country being a military power are in the past, and that’s been a direction of travel taken by our political establishment of all colours in recent decades. It’s not just a UK position either, as Trump demonstrated its largely continent wide. Our political leadership need to be honest about our military capability, as a nation we are not ready for conflict with another major industrial power.

Whether or not we want to cut the welfare and other budgets to reestablish that status is a fair political policy to put to the public. We won’t get there if we can’t produce our own steel though……………

Give up or muddle through?
 






raymondo

Well-known member
Apr 26, 2017
9,471
Wiltshire
I don't actually think this is wise. Trump will not react in a rational way saying 'Yes Zelenskyy, Russia are out of line so we'll punish them'.

I think Zelenskyy would be better saying something like 'this war has been going on for 3 years and President Trump and his team have put a lot of effort into agreeing a ceasefire, and Russia have broken it at the first opportunity', so it's more flattering of the US, rather than sounding like an ultimatum.
Yep, I think it's a slip of the mask from Zelenskiy's team. They must be exhausted walking on eggshells every day, trying not to upset the US whilst protecting their country.
 


Bodian

Well-known member
May 3, 2012
16,371
Cumbria
Yep, I think it's a slip of the mask from Zelenskiy's team. They must be exhausted walking on eggshells every day, trying not to upset the US whilst protecting their country.
If he said it - I can't find that quote anywhere else except on that one single tweet (and subsequent retweets).
 










Eric the meek

Fiveways Wilf
NSC Patron
Aug 24, 2020
8,576
The first few minutes of Jake's video says/suggests that Ukraine at least believed the ceasefire came into effect as soon as the US issued their statement. Have a watch to draw you own conclusions.
Pretty shambolic from the US team if the timing wasn't made clear to all parties.

Did you see from 10:52 on the Russian demand for US sanctions on the Russian agricultural bank be lifted BEFORE any ceasefire can take place? The US can't lift the sanctions on Swift transactions on the Russian agricultural bank, as all Swift transactions go through Belgian banks, and Europe weren't invited to the peace talks.

Great eh?
 


raymondo

Well-known member
Apr 26, 2017
9,471
Wiltshire
It’s not just Zelenskyy toughening up the language after today’s summit in Paris.



The EU and UK confirmed it won’t be lifting the sanctions Russia attempted to tack onto the ceasefire. So Putin now needs to either back down or reject the deal.

Macron spoke about sending troops into Ukraine with or without the US.


Scholz also had strong words about lifting sanctions still being “quite far” away. Even the Estonian PM:



Mark Rutte, last seen chuckling nervously while Trump talked about starting NATO Avengers: Civil War, said this:



Mark Carney said this:



Since the London summit immediately after the Oval Office, it’s seemed like there’s been very close coordination between Ukraine, France and Britain. I think Zelenskyy said last week that he talks to Macron almost daily.

I’d guess today was a coordinated attempt to turn the screw on Trump and Putin’s “peace” talks. I wonder if Putin blundered in making a ceasefire conditional on those sanctions because it gave Europe the opportunity to basically veto the whole thing. Maybe.

Meanwhile, the Americans returned to their favourite subject, the minerals deal. It’s reaching levels of plunder the East India Company would be proud of.


That's excellent from Carney, basically stands up to Trump without any reactive threats on tariffs etc. Simply says, okay this is what we, as Canadians, will do then.
At some point I think we'll need to see similar statements from Europe and Ukraine. There have been partial.
 




fly high

Well-known member
Aug 25, 2011
2,285
in a house
It’s not just Zelenskyy toughening up the language after today’s summit in Paris.



The EU and UK confirmed it won’t be lifting the sanctions Russia attempted to tack onto the ceasefire. So Putin now needs to either back down or reject the deal.

Macron spoke about sending troops into Ukraine with or without the US.


Scholz also had strong words about lifting sanctions still being “quite far” away. Even the Estonian PM:



Mark Rutte, last seen chuckling nervously while Trump talked about starting NATO Avengers: Civil War, said this:



Mark Carney said this:



Since the London summit immediately after the Oval Office, it’s seemed like there’s been very close coordination between Ukraine, France and Britain. I think Zelenskyy said last week that he talks to Macron almost daily.

I’d guess today was a coordinated attempt to turn the screw on Trump and Putin’s “peace” talks. I wonder if Putin blundered in making a ceasefire conditional on those sanctions because it gave Europe the opportunity to basically veto the whole thing. Maybe.

Meanwhile, the Americans returned to their favourite subject, the minerals deal. It’s reaching levels of plunder the East India Company would be proud of.


Expect speech from Vance with headline:-

Europe blocks peace deal

Wouldn't be surprised if follow up will be "If Europe continues to block peace deal then they can take over the protection of Ukraine and all US aid will stop".
 


cunning fergus

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jan 18, 2009
5,055
Give up or muddle through?
Why should it be either of those options?

Responsible governments (whatever flavour) should have strategies baked in to their overall risk management frameworks for most global/local events.

If the UK Government strategy is to be a leading global military power with capacity to resist another major power it cannot do that credibly without a corresponding industrial strategy which must include the ability to manufacture steel independently.

This is 1.01 stuff, it’s not nuance. As it is we have had successive Government’s standing by whilst the country’s industrial capacity shrinks. If that is because (say) net zero trumps defence capability then that is the decision the Government has decided to take.

So if we have given up the Government should say so.
 


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