[Politics] Joe Biden vs Donald Trump *** Official Match Thread ***

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Who's going to win?

  • Calling it for Trump

    Votes: 78 30.2%
  • Calling it for Biden

    Votes: 180 69.8%

  • Total voters
    258
  • Poll closed .


bhafc99

Well-known member
Oct 14, 2003
7,164
Dubai
Wow have a work teams meeting come back and Trump is out to 4.5 v 1.28 now (4.5 is the same as a Burnley win on Friday night to put into context)

We've already won the Burnley game – I called it earlier this morning to stop them stealing it from us. 3-1: Bissouma, Webster and Trossard.
 




theroyal

Well-known member
May 11, 2014
434
If Trump does lose, he can't just "go to the Supreme Court" - he actually needs a case.
 


beorhthelm

A. Virgo, Football Genius
Jul 21, 2003
35,432
Is it likely that they'll have a blue Pres and a red Senate then?

blue Pres, lue representatives, red senate. markets like this as it means less likely to have campaign against big tech firms, and likely to have large fiscal stimulus.
 


sparkie

Well-known member
Jul 17, 2003
12,676
Hove
If Trump does lose, he can't just "go to the Supreme Court" - he actually needs a case.
And everyone knows which 1 or 2 NSC posters will be backing that case to the hilt with post after post.... while claiming not to support Trump lol.
 








Mellotron

I've asked for soup
Jul 2, 2008
31,976
Brighton
If Trump does lose, he can't just "go to the Supreme Court" - he actually needs a case.

“You can’t just say I declare bankruptcy. That’s not how it works.”

“I didn’t say it. I declared it.”
 






bhafc99

Well-known member
Oct 14, 2003
7,164
Dubai
That's correct, plus Georgia is still in play with a lot of urban postals to count


Georgia was looking more hopeful a few hours ago, but I'm not so sure now.

The gap that Biden has to make up is pretty daunting – he's 102,823 votes behind with 301,000 left to count.

So, yes, while what's left to come in is probably more Democratic than Republican, he needs 67.1% of it – basically two thirds of all remaining votes.

That one's probably drifting out of reach, sadly.

But still hopeful he will do in enough of the other states to get over 270.

It just could be a while yet....
 


dingodan

New member
Feb 16, 2011
10,080
Associated Press have called it decided for Biden.

Strange that because Biden had a 200k lead at 73% counted, and now has a <100k lead at 83% counted.
 


Weststander

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Aug 25, 2011
64,995
Withdean area
Georgia was looking more hopeful a few hours ago, but I'm not so sure now.

The gap that Biden has to make up is pretty daunting – he's 102,823 votes behind with 301,000 left to count.

So, yes, while what's left to come in is probably more Democratic than Republican, he needs 67.1% of it – basically two thirds of all remaining votes.

That one's probably drifting out of reach, sadly.

But still hopeful he will do in enough of the other states to get over 270.

It just could be a while yet....

Florida, Georgia and North Carolina are Republican, it was a dream/aspiration that they'd go Biden in a landslide win.

The northern swing states will decide this, with the bonus win of Arizona.
 






CHAPPERS

DISCO SPENG
Jul 5, 2003
44,824
Worth checking the betting by state on Betfair, which currently has Biden favourite in Arizona (1.06), Michigan (1.32), Nevada (1.1), Pennsylvania (1.65) and Wisconsin (1.11). Georgia he is 2.12.
 


:J)

Active member
Jul 7, 2003
636
Brighton
Why the discrepancy between the BBC and other websites about the results so far?

bbc-us-election-results-so-far.png

google-search-us-election-results-so-far.png
 






highflyer

Well-known member
Jan 21, 2016
2,448
Strange that because Biden had a 200k lead at 73% counted, and now has a <100k lead at 83% counted.

Not sure why Arizona's been called at this stage, does seem premature, but there seems to be a fair amount of certainty about it.

Georgia looks like it's sure to go Republican...until you realise that nearly all the remaining 300,000 votes (of which Biden needs to win 200,000) are in places where the Democrats routinely win 70% to 80% of votes. So...closer than it looks (but still likely republican one imagines
 


Is it PotG?

Thrifty non-licker
Feb 20, 2017
23,844
Sussex by the Sea








beorhthelm

A. Virgo, Football Genius
Jul 21, 2003
35,432


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