- Nov 11, 2009
- 11,708
How is the market moving? I get that it is if you say so, but why?
He looks like hes generally slightly out performing Hillary, and Trump under performing 2016.
Watching Florida is like watching us away at Wolves under Hughton
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[Politics] Joe Biden vs Donald Trump *** Official Match Thread ***
- Thread starter Hamilton
- Start date
How is the market moving? I get that it is if you say so, but why?
He looks like hes generally slightly out performing Hillary, and Trump under performing 2016.
Watching Florida is like watching us away at Wolves under Hughton
nwgull
Well-known member
Sky News hasn’t even mentioned h to e Miami numbers in Florida yet. Talking more about Georgia being close
I can only think it's the sentiment being drawn from the Miami Dade numbers.
Or there is something else happening on another channel that I'm missing!
I called that hours ago. I said then that we shouldn't be reading too much in the fact that Biden was odds-on.
I said Trump would win at the beginning of this thread and I stand by that
(I'd love to be totally wrong though)
- Apr 19, 2018
- 1,968
Guardian live map of the counties has Miami Dade as a Biden lead at the moment too. Seems to be slightly ahead of Sky news so far tonight.
Yeah, Biden will win it, but his share of the vote is way down on Clinton last time.
Juan Albion
Chicken Sniffer 3rd Class
That's the Cuban and Venezuelan vote, which Trump has courted bigtime and may give him Florida. He won't get that help in other states.
fruitnveg
Well-known member
From 30 to 9 and she still lost the state. Biden is gon get dicked.
nwgull
Well-known member
It’s a lead, but nothing like the lead Hillary had in the same county when she lost.
portlock seagull
Why? Why us?
- Jul 28, 2003
- 17,420
It is, but most countries are. Technology eh?!
At this incredibly early stage, are they formed from the betting of ultra savvy analysts? Or the subjective knee-jerk reactions of some punters shocked that early counting Florida might be GOP?
Betfair also shows:
Juan Albion
Chicken Sniffer 3rd Class
That's because CNN call me for their information.
It will be a mix, but time and time again Betfair odds have been shown to be an accurate representation of probability - it's a near-perfect marketplace.
But sentiment can send people running, in both directions, to trade out of a position or trade in.
Odds seem to have broadly settled on...
Biden 4/5
Trump 6/5
- Nov 11, 2009
- 11,708
Im watching CNN, and its a tad confusing, as all states have different rules.....in a lot of the early numbers your not sure if that's in person today (more likely to favour Trump) or early votes (more likely to favour Biden)....... Its all gonna change.
Ohio looks the most promising, no Republican president has won without it in modern times, and Biden ahead 55-45 at about 55% counted, and they said thats a lot of in person with a lot of early votes still to come.
Same here, CNN, after flitting.
So much to know, in effect 50 countries with varying electoral rules eg some count the postal votes in the following days, some by the time the election stations close. Another nuance, rural votes reach state tallies later, giving Trump a late surge in Ohio, Georgia and North Carolina.
