[Politics] Russia invades Ukraine (24/02/2022)

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Triggaaar

Well-known member
Oct 24, 2005
55,398
Goldstone
I do wonder what this is worth though, tbh. It's not anything actually tangible as far as I can see, more posturing at the time IMO.

But look at what the goals of the two countries are. They're both fundamentally against democracy, so while they have issues with each other they see the West as their main enemy.
 




Triggaaar

Well-known member
Oct 24, 2005
55,398
Goldstone
Yes, all his choices are risky.
I don't think he can call out the US as a Russian ally (although I may have emotionally said that just a few posts ago).
It's dangerous because, unless Europe is 100%on board with saying it (even if they believe that) then Zelenskiy may lose a lot of European support.

Better I think that Ukraine, EU, UK keeps developing it's own plans and actions for support of Ukraine, in parallel with US conniving, and let it play out: maybe there'll be no ceasefire, or it'll be clear Russia has broken it, or American political 'leaders' will accuse Trump of being allied with Russia... that could be a better way.
John Bolton has pretty much said that on Times radio (that's how I heard it).

Indeed there's nothing to gain from Ukraine saying what it thinks of Trump.

But they need to be strong and ignore the threats from the US - eg the 'You need to agree to this ceasefire to show you're interested in peace' BS. Ukraine can sign a complete ceasefire with no restrictions to show it's interested in peace. And they should bomb Russian ports to stop them getting their export economy going. Ukraine need to pretend to be interested in what Trump wants, but keep fighting to stop Russia from profiting.
 


SeagullinExile

Well-known member
Sep 10, 2010
6,380
London
(y)



Given the advance of drones, I'm not sure landing barges are the way forward. Taiwan should have a million of them at the ready.
(y)



Given the advance of drones, I'm not sure landing barges are the way forward. Taiwan should have a million of them at the ready.
Taiwan is one of the most fortified countries on the planet. China would incur heavy losses trying to take it, drones or not.
 




raymondo

Well-known member
Apr 26, 2017
9,484
Wiltshire
Indeed there's nothing to gain from Ukraine saying what it thinks of Trump.

But they need to be strong and ignore the threats from the US - eg the 'You need to agree to this ceasefire to show you're interested in peace' BS. Ukraine can sign a complete ceasefire with no restrictions to show it's interested in peace. And they should bomb Russian ports to stop them getting their export economy going. Ukraine need to pretend to be interested in what Trump wants, but keep fighting to stop Russia from profiting.
Exactly that - play it both ways.
 




SouthSaxon

Stand or fall
NSC Patron
Jan 25, 2025
897
Yes, all his choices are risky.
I don't think he can call out the US as a Russian ally (although I may have emotionally said that just a few posts ago).
It's dangerous because, unless Europe is 100%on board with saying it (even if they believe that) then Zelenskiy may lose a lot of European support.

Better I think that Ukraine, EU, UK keeps developing it's own plans and actions for support of Ukraine, in parallel with US conniving, and let it play out: maybe there'll be no ceasefire, or it'll be clear Russia has broken it, or American political 'leaders' will accuse Trump of being allied with Russia... that could be a better way.
John Bolton has pretty much said that on Times radio (that's how I heard it).

Indeed there's nothing to gain from Ukraine saying what it thinks of Trump.

But they need to be strong and ignore the threats from the US - eg the 'You need to agree to this ceasefire to show you're interested in peace' BS. Ukraine can sign a complete ceasefire with no restrictions to show it's interested in peace. And they should bomb Russian ports to stop them getting their export economy going. Ukraine need to pretend to be interested in what Trump wants, but keep fighting to stop Russia from profiting.
Agree with you both, for now. I posted before* about Ukraine’s red lines being further down this process. The longer this gets drawn out, the better for them.

I’m convinced Europe is fully awake to what’s going on (some still seem to doubt this). Spain’s PM was just quoted as saying this to its congress (bold mine):

Russian neo-imperialism and the radical change in US economic and military policy compel Europe to step up and be brave. As Europeans, we continue to believe in diplomacy and prosperity. But neither Russia nor the US sees things that way … Others will no longer protect our skies and our borders, so we will have to do that ourselves.

It’s a strong statement, as these things go.

* Yesterday? What day is it? What even is time anymore?!
 


Triggaaar

Well-known member
Oct 24, 2005
55,398
Goldstone
Agree with you both, for now. I posted before* about Ukraine’s red lines being further down this process. The longer this gets drawn out, the better for them.

I’m convinced Europe is fully awake to what’s going on (some still seem to doubt this). Spain’s PM was just quoted as saying this to its congress (bold mine):

Russian neo-imperialism and the radical change in US economic and military policy compel Europe to step up and be brave. As Europeans, we continue to believe in diplomacy and prosperity. But neither Russia nor the US sees things that way … Others will no longer protect our skies and our borders, so we will have to do that ourselves.

I'm confused by the quote. If the bold is yours, and I remove it, then Spain's PM said:
"Russian neo-imperialism and the compel Europe to step up and be brave. As Europeans, we continue to believe in diplomacy and prosperity. But … Others will no longer protect our skies and our borders, so we will have to do that ourselves."

Did you bold too much?
 














raymondo

Well-known member
Apr 26, 2017
9,484
Wiltshire
Agree with you both, for now. I posted before* about Ukraine’s red lines being further down this process. The longer this gets drawn out, the better for them.

I’m convinced Europe is fully awake to what’s going on (some still seem to doubt this). Spain’s PM was just quoted as saying this to its congress (bold mine):



It’s a strong statement, as these things go.

* Yesterday? What day is it? What even is time anymore?!
Yeah, what day indeed 😬. We're posting our arses off trying to make sense of the world while Trump and Co say and do random dangerous stuff then spend the weekend golfing and skiing.
 








SouthSaxon

Stand or fall
NSC Patron
Jan 25, 2025
897
I'm confused by the quote. If the bold is yours, and I remove it, then Spain's PM said:
"Russian neo-imperialism and the compel Europe to step up and be brave. As Europeans, we continue to believe in diplomacy and prosperity. But … Others will no longer protect our skies and our borders, so we will have to do that ourselves."

Did you bold too much?
As in, I made those bits of the quote bold to emphasise them. You don’t need to remove them…
 
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The Clamp

Well-known member
Jan 11, 2016
27,141
West is BEST


SouthSaxon

Stand or fall
NSC Patron
Jan 25, 2025
897
Guessing there won't be a cease fire then.
Ah! I hadn’t appreciated the EU aspect to this. UK and Canada also had a say in these sanctions, according to Wikipedia.

That would suggest some sleight of hand on Russia’s part. I’d entirely believe either that the US delegation just didn’t know what they were agreeing to (stupidity & incompetence) or that they intend to pressure Europe/Canada to agree (malignancy).

It does seem like a total non-starter to me, if this report is correct, which it appears to be.
 


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