• Don't expect too much this afternoon - it is October after all

    Albion fans head to the Amex this afternoon desperate for a win to boost the teamís flagging fortunes this season.

    If, however, they do beat Rotherham, it wonít just end the Seagullsí current winless run but also call time on an October hoodoo stretching back four long years.

    Brighton, you see, have not won a league game in the month of October since they beat Peterborough United 3-0 at London Road. The goals that day came from marmite man Ashley Barnes (two) and fansí favourite Inigo Calderon.

    Since that delightful day the Albion have gone 17 games without registering a maximum return in the tenth month or 12.

    NSC boffins unearthed the anomaly earlier this week (i.e. blame them if it is wrong) and one poster even went to the super-helpful lengths of posting every game from the winless run like a slightly sadistic statistician.

    Those 17 games include six 0-0 draws, five 1-1 finishes and six defeats and some quick sums show that record equals a points haul of 11 from a possible 51.

    The goalscoring rate isnít exactly great either. In October 2011 the Seagulls managed just a single goal from five matches. It was a similar story in 2012, with the single strike that year also coming against Ipswich Town. 2012 was slightly better, with the Albion managing three goals in in four games while this year Brighton have managed three ahead of todayís game.

    That is just eight goals in 17 games. Or, put it another way, 0.4 goals a game.

    So, with that in mind, even a score draw this afternoon would represent a decent October result for the Albion. Even a goal would significantly buck the trend of recent seasons.

    Not that Seagull supporters will be happy with a point today. The expectation will be that the Albion should be claiming all three against Rotherham, regardless of whether the October stats and current league position perhaps suggest otherwise.

    A draw wouldnít be the end of the world, but it would probably feel like it.

    But why the October problems? Impossible to say. It could be that the month is when the first round of suspensions traditionally kick in, perhaps exposing a weakness in depth of the Albion squad. Might it be that, having had three different managers in the last three seasons the players are still adapting to a new style of play? Or could it be, as was suggested by one Albion fan on NSC this week, that supporters are paying the price for some sort of footballing pact with the Devil which allowed the Albion to beat arch rivals Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park back in October 2005 in return for underperforming in the month for the forseeable?

    Or, could it be, that October just isnít a great month for the Albion? After all, it was in October that the Seagulls lost 5-0 at Selhurst Park. The anniversary of that particularly shameful display is, in fact, tomorrow.

    Football supporters are renowned for being suspicious. Today, therefore, it might be a good idea to dust off those lucky pants, avoid walking under ladders en route to the Amex and keeping everything crossed which can be.

    Fans might expect to win today, but the calendar may have something to say about it.
    Comments 3 Comments
    1. Trust in Tony's Avatar
      Trust in Tony -
      what a shit load of crap you have written..total bollocks
    1. pauli cee's Avatar
      pauli cee -
    1. pauli cee's Avatar
      pauli cee -
      and so the run continues.................
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