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[Politics] Brexit

If there was a second Brexit referendum how would you vote?


  • Total voters
    1,085


The game is afoot and people like you and me don't count - we never did.

Ask yourself why the referendum on AV was legally binding and the referendum on the EU wasn't. The answer is because the former didn't have a snowman's chance in hell of succeeding whereas the EU one could have gone either way, and indeed nearly did.

What the Tory Party now has to ask itself is:

- are Labour capable of putting up decent opposition in a general election (at present the answer has to be that Labour couldn't run a bath let alone the country)
- how many of those 17 million people are already UKIP voters and how many would stay with UKIP if Article 50 was never invoked (and in first past the post system would it matter)
- how many, of the 17 million, on the other hand, could be convinced that they had made a terrible mistake by some clever campaigning and row backs on promises ("did I say that money would go to the NHS? Oh, deary me no, that's just not possible").

And perhaps crucially (if you read the jack of kent link)
- can notice be given under the UK constitution (which exists in disparate places) if the exercise of the Article is not approved by the devolved Scottish and Northern Irish parliaments. To which you may add the calculation that more Scottish Nationalist support may actually be a good thing for the Conservatives as Labour loses even more ground north of the border.

Right now it's a great big game of chess and, while you've been made to think you have a say, you don't. Not much of one anyway. FWIW I think we probably will exercise article 50 eventually but that the deal that we sign up to will effectively see us joining the EEA. So free trade and free movement remain, without our having any say in their rules. It allows the new Tory leader to say we left the EU, is most likely to stabilise trade and the markets and it would put Farage in a difficult and emasculated position.
This, unfortunately we have all been pawns in a game.

Sent from my E6653 using Tapatalk
 




Seasider78

Well-known member
Nov 14, 2004
5,941
So now I know who is responsible for us leaving the EU. It isn't Boris Johnson or Michael Gove or Nigel Farage, or even David Cameron for calling the referendum in the first place. It is, of course, Jeremy Corbyn.

One way of looking at this is asking why this country has such a historically negative perception of the EU as this was not suddenly formed in this short referendum campaign.

For years successive governments have failed to play an active and central role in the Eu and used the EU as a kicking post with everything from straight bananas to labelling members bureaucrats.

This rhetoric has been played out for years and then weeks out of decision the record is changed and the EU is all of a sudden the best club in the world. And we wonder why people are negatively hard coded with anti EU sentiment!!!

Perhaps if successive governments wanted more support for the EU they should have made a bit more effort participating positively and promoting the membership benefits to the general public.
 


Soulman

New member
Oct 22, 2012
10,966
Sompting
This was written by Luke Flanagan MEP....yesterday.

At todays European Parliament extraordinary meeting on Brexit there will not be a single Republic of Ireland MEP allowed to speak. The core, EPP and S&D, groups have decided that it is wiser to only let group leaders speak. My group fought it but were in the end ignored. The EU has learned nothing.

This is my press release on the issue.

GAGGED

Today there was a ‘debate’ in a special Plenary – the sitting of the European Parliament – on Brexit.

Now I think the world knows that this was a fairly significant event for all concerned; for the UK itself, for the EU, but also for Ireland, given our ties to Britain. I was looking forward then to taking part in what was sure to be a robust discussion, contribute my own tuppence-worth.

But here is what actually happened, and here also is all that’s rotten about this place, here is why I believe the UK has taken the right decision.

THE GRAND COALITION

I've mentioned this before but the European Parliament is dominated by what’s known as The Grand Coalition, with the EPP (215 MEPs, the ironically titled European People’s Party which, more than any other, works in the interests of big business; they are the major supporters in parliament of neoliberalism and austerity), the S&D (190 MEPs, the Socialists and Democrats, though in fact they’re neither) and ALDE (70 MEPs, Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe) having 475 seats between them, a huge majority in a chamber of 751 members.

Between them, and along with the Greens, they have come up with what’s called a Joint Motion for a Resolution on Brexit; this was to form the basis of the debate.

Yesterday our group – GUE/NGL – was discussing our proposed Amendments to that Resolution; just after 4.00pm, in the middle of that discussion, we got word from the Tabling Office that the deadline for amendments had been brought forward an hour, from 6.00pm to 5.00pm. In a group of real politics, a dozen different opinions and all strongly held, this created an utterly unfair situation but we nevertheless managed to squeeze in few amendments before the deadline.

At that meeting the procedure for the Plenary ‘debate’ was also outlined to us, as decided by the Grand Coalition. And it’s a travesty. In this so-called Parliament, the only EU institution (as we’re are constantly reminded) with a true democratic mandate, what we are offered is in fact a denial of democracy.

WHEN IS A DEBATE NOT A DEBATE?

There was no debate. The Council spoke, Jeanine Hennis-Plasschaert – you know her, right, our Jeanine, Dutch Minister of Defence? Jeanine was followed by the Commission, its egoist President Jean Claude Juncker doing his usual stunt and making this all about him. Each group’s leader was then given a speaking slot but the time allowed was in proportion to the size of the group; EPP got 8’30”, S&D got 6’ – our speaker, Gabi Zimmer, got 3’.

We then got to hear more platitudes about unity and all standing together from the Council and from Juncker, five minutes each, each of the groups getting a minute to reply to that. Juncker though didn’t bother to wait around for that; the important part of the morning – his contributions – were all over.

Two northern Ireland MEPs – Diane Dodds and Martina Anderson – got to speak in this slot but that was it. Then we voted, with the Grand Coalition rejecting all our amendments and forcing through its own Motion for a Resolution.

And that’s it. That’s the European Parliament and the way it operates.

WHAT WOULD I HAVE SAID?

I would have pointed out that, as even a cursory glance at the demographics shows, this was a victory for the disenfranchised, for those who have been most damaged by the grand-plan neoliberal policies of the austerity-promoting EU.

I would have pointed out that this grand plan for the EU was never a project of the left, that it was founded on facilitating big business and that with CETA and TTIP and all the other ‘free trade agreements’ now being pushed through by the Commission, the Council and the EPP-dominated Parliament, that agenda is now accelerated.

I would have told them that in stating over and over again that this was a win for the extreme right, the left is handing over a victory that in fact was the result of an across-the-board effort and that in doing so, they are handing the extreme right a major boost – everyone loves a winner, right?

I would have given them a little history, the fact that it was a British government that gave us the NHS and that is the EU now, through TTIP that threatens to take that away; the fact that it was a British government that gave us modern-day labour laws including the 40-hr week, overtime etc, long before there was ever an EU, but that it is the same EU now, again through TTIP and the like, that is going to dilute those hard-gained labour rights.

I would have said that rather than castigating the British who voted for Brexit, painting them all as racists and xenophobes, we should applaud them in the way we applauded the Greeks who similarly voted in a way that wasn’t acceptable to the EU, despite also the fact that as in the UK, all the major forces were aligned against them and threatening them with Armageddon.

So much that I’ve had said. But I was gagged, and apart from a few at the top table, we were all gagged.

And here’s the really sad part.

‘Lord’ Jonathan Hill is the British Commissioner, a Eurosceptic turned Europhile and a guy who, more than any other, has fought tooth and nail to protect the interests of the financial sector in the City of London but also across the EU, a neoliberal hawk of hawks; he was given a standing ovation by the S&D.

This Parliament, this EU, is now beyond parody. We all need to do what the UK has just voted to do; we need to get out
 












Green Cross Code Man

Wunt be druv
Mar 30, 2006
19,771
Eastbourne
Spain and France have said no chance of independent Scotland joining the EU.


Sent from my E6653 using Tapatalk
Hardly a surprise for Spain at least. No way do they want 'regions' of a country to be allowed the right to negotiate directly with the EU. Spain would split into 2 or perhaps 3 parts. Maybe even 4.
 




Hampster Gull

New member
Dec 22, 2010
13,462
Brexiters on here getting upset that a post referendum EU is not looking after the interests of the UK! :lolol: and even against their own interests, no surpise for a while
 


Southern Scouse

Well-known member
Jul 21, 2011
2,026
Boriinnggggggg.....Christ we have some wet blankets in this country!!!
If it takes a recession then so be it....Freedom from this organisation is a wonderful thing and we've certainly had recessions while in the EU that's for sure.

Good for you mate, however it cost me my career and at my age it's not easy to start all over.
 


Baldseagull

Well-known member
Jan 26, 2012
10,993
Crawley
All press speculation with no basis in fact, no negotiations have taken place or are due to until Article 50 has been invoked.

Yes it is speculation, which is why I said likely, rather than will, but it is based on fact, Switzerland adopt bit by bit, and Norway automatically have sections of E.U. legislation that they adopt.
 




Yoda

English & European
The FTSE 100 Index closes today at a higher level than pre Brexit.

So where are the doom mongers today?

I will say it once again as it's now some 150 odd pages back. The FTSE100 is made up of mostly International companies, so I'm not surprised it has recovered. The FTSE250, which is where most of the British companies reside is still some 1,200-1,300 points DOWN from before the Brexit result and hasn't even recovered half of what it lost yet.

The reason for the recovery is the shock has passed, but may I remind you. We have not left the EU yet. The biggest test will be when we do actually leave and under what terms.
 


Baldseagull

Well-known member
Jan 26, 2012
10,993
Crawley
Hardly a surprise for Spain at least. No way do they want 'regions' of a country to be allowed the right to negotiate directly with the EU. Spain would split into 2 or perhaps 3 parts. Maybe even 4.

Some of the Basque region is in France.
 


Southern Scouse

Well-known member
Jul 21, 2011
2,026
Boriinnggggggg.....Christ we have some wet blankets in this country!!!
If it takes a recession then so be it....Freedom from this organisation is a wonderful thing and we've certainly had recessions while in the EU that's for sure.

Good for you mate, however it cost me my career and at my age it's not easy to start all over.
 




The Rivet

Well-known member
Aug 9, 2011
4,515
Anyone got a child/ren who are in 'mourning', too stressed 'to take their exams'?
Are household's really at war within our members here on NSC?
Just interested not critical.
 


The Fifth Column

Retired ex-cop
Nov 30, 2010
4,032
Escaped from Corruption
Anyone got a child/ren who are in 'mourning', too stressed 'to take their exams'?
Are household's really at war within our members here on NSC?
Just interested not critical.

My wife voted in, I voted out - far from being a frosty atmosphere its actually got us talking and debating the issues quite amicably. Kids are 13 & 9 so not really any interest in it.
 


Baldseagull

Well-known member
Jan 26, 2012
10,993
Crawley
Another of Blair's failures, and one that I could never understand. If you're elected on a mandate of changing the Lords to an elected body and doing away with hereditaries, which I think he was, why do you then bottle it?


Because the House of Lords would have blocked it anyway.
 


The Rivet

Well-known member
Aug 9, 2011
4,515
Poison dwarf crankie wont get anywhere with France and Spain.

Catalan / Catalá

Total no. of speakers in Europe: 5 m - 7 m

Where spoken: No. of speakers % of the population

Catalonia in north-east Spain

South-west France


No. of speakers world-wide 7 m

Language notes

Catalan is the language of the people of Catalonia. It is a member of the Romance family of languages.

The pricipal city of the region is Barcelona, which was the capital of a flourishing kingdom in the middle ages.

Like the Basques in the north-east, the Catalans have been subjected to repression over the centuries. Today they enjoy a measure of autonomy.

In Catalonia the Catalan language now has equal status with Spanish. The language is used in all walks of life and is the medium of instruction in the schools.

A number of Catalan newspapers and periodicals attest to its vitality.

The economic prosperity of the area attracts workers from far and wide, who are encouraged to learn the language. One result of this influx is that the proportion of Catalan-speakers in Barcelona has been declining in recent years.

France and Spain would worry that area would follow I guess.
 




Seagull58

In the Algarve
Jan 31, 2012
7,411
Vilamoura, Portugal
I'm just pointing out the dangers of raising race in a debate like this and in any context. My advice is to avoid it. That's all. You've corrected yourself now anyway so all's fine.


Sent from my iPhone in a non-Calde world :-(

I had nothing to correct. I expanded on my original comments several times until you got the point.
 




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