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Will we make the top 6?

Assuming no loan activity, do you think we will finish in the top 6 this season?

  • Yes, yes we will

    Votes: 121 27.9%
  • No, no we won't

    Votes: 312 72.1%

  • Total voters
    433






Simster

"the man's an arse"
Jul 7, 2003
54,212
Surrey
The top five places are NOT sewn up. We could easily still catch any team above us, except Leicester because one or perhaps two of those teams will fall away. QPR aren't looking all that clever now that Austin is injured.
 


Hamilton

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 7, 2003
12,476
Brighton
Last season we were...

Brighton & Hove Albion
P30
W11
D12
L7
F42
A33
PTS 45

(I believe)

So a point better off. We're scoring less and conceding less.
 




Bold Seagull

strong and stable with me, or...
Mar 18, 2010
29,804
Hove
Have us just missing ... I thought Burnley would cave in at some point but not so sure now

Just missing on 77 points!? No one has missed out on the play-off's with 77 points ever!!!! Even in the early '80's when you had the playoff's between 2 of the relegation candidates of Div 1 with 2nd and 3rd of Div 2 77 points was enough.

This will be the highest top 6 collection of points in the history of this division!
 




Dick Knights Mumm

Take me Home Falmer Road
Jul 5, 2003
19,619
Hither and Thither
The top five places are NOT sewn up. We could easily still catch any team above us, except Leicester because one or perhaps two of those teams will fall away. QPR aren't looking all that clever now that Austin is injured.

I hope you are right. But to catch even Forest that means we needs three more wins than them in the 16 games remaining. Possible - but it means that we will need to hit form, and start scoring. And there are a few clubs saying precisely the same. There are signs - but how would we look if Ulloa was not available ?
 


Mellotron

I've asked for soup
Jul 2, 2008
31,853
Brighton
I hope you are right. But to catch even Forest that means we needs three more wins than them in the 16 games remaining. Possible - but it means that we will need to hit form, and start scoring. And there are a few clubs saying precisely the same. There are signs - but how would we look if Ulloa was not available ?

We're already on form at home. Just need to pick up away a bit, not a dramatic shift needed at all.
 


Bold Seagull

strong and stable with me, or...
Mar 18, 2010
29,804
Hove
The top five places are NOT sewn up. We could easily still catch any team above us, except Leicester because one or perhaps two of those teams will fall away. QPR aren't looking all that clever now that Austin is injured.

Damn right. Pressure, form and confidence are bizarre unpredictable things. No way each of the teams is going to continue indefinitely on their present run of form.
 




knocky1

Well-known member
Jan 20, 2010
12,971
The top five places are NOT sewn up. We could easily still catch any team above us, except Leicester because one or perhaps two of those teams will fall away. QPR aren't looking all that clever now that Austin is injured.

13 from 18 points. The rocky road for QPR. Losing at Derby.

The difference this year is a break away group at the top of the table and, as you say, we are on the fringe and need a couple from 7 to lose form but I cannot see us catching QPR.
 


Simster

"the man's an arse"
Jul 7, 2003
54,212
Surrey
I hope you are right. But to catch even Forest that means we needs three more wins than them in the 16 games remaining. Possible - but it means that we will need to hit form, and start scoring. And there are a few clubs saying precisely the same. There are signs - but how would we look if Ulloa was not available ?

Not disagreeing with your points about our reliance on Leo, or the fact that we are one of around five other clubs saying the same thing, but if Reading, Brighton or Wigan keep winning 1-0 at home and mostly drawing away, then one or two of the clubs in the top 5 can be caught.
 


Simster

"the man's an arse"
Jul 7, 2003
54,212
Surrey
13 from 18 points. The rocky road for QPR. Losing at Derby.

The difference this year is a break away group at the top of the table and, as you say, we are on the fringe and need a couple from 7 to lose form but I cannot see us catching QPR.
Individually I'd say the same about all four teams fighting for 2nd place. But I reckon one or two will stutter, so it's down to maintaining form at home, where we have FOUR promotion rivals to come (and only one or two away).
 




Dick Knights Mumm

Take me Home Falmer Road
Jul 5, 2003
19,619
Hither and Thither
We're already on form at home. Just need to pick up away a bit, not a dramatic shift needed at all.

Two wins on the bounce is a good start to the run-in - but it has not really felt to me like we are on form at home. I prefer to wait until after Wigan and Reading to make a judgement. I am not being a doom-monger - it just feels like early days.
 


Mellotron

I've asked for soup
Jul 2, 2008
31,853
Brighton
Two wins on the bounce is a good start to the run-in - but it has not really felt to me like we are on form at home. I prefer to wait until after Wigan and Reading to make a judgement. I am not being a doom-monger - it just feels like early days.

Home form:

Won 4
Drawn 1
Lost 0

I'd say that's in form at home. That's top of the league form.
 


fosters headband

Well-known member
Aug 15, 2003
5,158
Brighton
Last season we were...

Brighton & Hove Albion
P30
W11
D12
L7
F42
A33
PTS 45

(I believe)

So a point better off. We're scoring less and conceding less.

We maybe a point better off this season but we are 2 and 3 points further behind the third and fourth teams this year than last. So I believe no.
 




pornomagboy

wake me up before you gogo who needs potter when
May 16, 2006
6,015
peacehaven
The last game of the season away to forest could be the biggest game of the season both could need a win to make the playoffs if so a certain game for sky
 


Dick Knights Mumm

Take me Home Falmer Road
Jul 5, 2003
19,619
Hither and Thither
Home form:

Won 4
Drawn 1
Lost 0

I'd say that's in form at home. That's top of the league form.

Personally I wouldn't include cup games. That would make it it WWWDD - which is still decent. But when we talk of form - January 1st and before seems a long time ago. Withdean may turn out to be a fortress for the remainder of the season - it just does not feel like it after the last two (very welcome) wins. We do not look a team on form. But as long as we keep winning - who cares.
 


JOLovegrove

Well-known member
Jan 30, 2012
2,007
My head says yes (injuries getting back, starting to grind out wins, solid home form) but my heart says no (not enough out and out goal scorers and not scoring enough). Would really loved to be proved wrong!
 


Mellotron

I've asked for soup
Jul 2, 2008
31,853
Brighton
Personally I wouldn't include cup games. That would make it it WWWDD - which is still decent. But when we talk of form - January 1st and before seems a long time ago. Withdean may turn out to be a fortress for the remainder of the season - it just does not feel like it after the last two (very welcome) wins. We do not look a team on form. But as long as we keep winning - who cares.

I have to agree, it doesn't feel like Withdean will be a fortress this season. :wink:
 






Goldstone1976

We Got Calde in!!
Helpful Moderator
NSC Patron
Apr 30, 2013
13,789
Herts
The last game of the season away to forest could be the biggest game of the season both could need a win to make the playoffs

I do hope not; Forest are the only team that genuinely made us look poor when they visited, when we didn't actually play that badly. Ipswich and Watford away we looked poor, but we were. Of course, it's only 1 game, but I'll be feeling nervous if both sides need a win to get a play-off spot.
 


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