[Albion] What will be the Magic number of points to survive in the PL?

OzMike said:

One more than the bottom three.

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I would accept equal points but with a better goal difference. Just to be pedantic.

throbinson said:

Why is that unlikely? Look what Huddersfield did to Utd

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Blackadder said:

Well anything is possible.

At the start of the season, I had a list of targets for the Albion.

Score a goal. Done.
Get first points. Done.
Achieve first home win. Done.
Beat Derby's 11 points. Done
Achieve first away win. Done.

The remaining targets (apart from staying up obviously) are
First point against a TOP 6 side
First home win against a TOP 6 side.
First Away win against a TOP 6 side.

After the City game, I think a draw is definitely achievable. A win is possible. We may have to wait until next season for an away win (But you never know )

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Of course Huddersfield (and Burnley) have done it and so will others but we'll start each of those games as 2nd favourites and my reasoning was that in order to see how current form would extrapolate to end of season it might be more sensible to assume 0 points from those remaining 10 fixtures.

In saying that I do think we'll get something somewhere from those games, I would just rather not rely on it (which taking our average so far does) to get to the 'magic' number, whatever that might be

A1X said:

I think at some point we will need to pick up points against one of the big guns, especially at home. The other teams likely to be around us already have. Liverpool or Chelsea at home might be good opportunities.

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Not many.

Games v the 'big six':

Brighton: P2 W0 D0 L2 F0 A4 Pts 0
0-2 v City (H)
0-2 v Arsenal (A)

Bournemouth: P4 W0 D0 L4 F1 A7 Pts 0
1-2 v City (H)
0-3 v Arsenal (A)
0-1 v Spurs (A)
0-1 v Chelsea (H)

West Brom: P2 W0 D0 L2 F2 A5 Pts 0
0-2 v Arsenal (A)
2-3 v City (H)

West Ham: P2 W0 D0 L2 Pts 0
0-4 v United (A)
2-3 v Spurs (H)

Leicester: P4 W0 D0 L4 F6 A11 Pts 0
3-4 v Arsenal (H)
0-2 v United (A)
1-2 v Chelsea (H)
2-3 v Liverpool (H)

Everton: P5 W0 D1 L4 F3 A15 Pts ONE
1-1 v City (A)
0-2 v Chelsea (A)
0-3 v Spurs (H)
0-4 v United (A)
2-5 v Arsenal (H)

Newcastle; P2 W0 D1 L1 F1 A3 Pts ONE
0-2 v Spurs (H)
1-1 v Liverpool (H)

Huddersfield: P3 W1 D0 L2 F2 A8 Pts THREE
0-4 v Spurs (H)
2-1 v United (H)
0-3 v Liverpool (A)

Palace: P4 W1 D0 L3 F2 A11 Pts THREE
0-1 v Liverpool (A)
0-5 v City (A)
0-4 v United (A)
2-1 v Chelsea (H)

Stoke: P4 W1 D1 L2 F5 A13 Pts FOUR
1-0 v Arsenal (H)
2-2 v United (H)
0-4 v Chelsea (H)
2-7 v City (A)

dangull said:

I would accept equal points but with a better goal difference. Just to be pedantic.

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I wouldn't, then it wouldn't look like luck.