You are right about Cardiff...
...but Wembley 91 was one of the worst away days ever
In summary, I have no idea
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Would you take a place in the PO Final now...
- Thread starter gripper stebson
- Start date
You are right about Cardiff...
...but Wembley 91 was one of the worst away days ever
In summary, I have no idea
crookie
Well-known member
Agree, from agony to ecstacy albeit with a 13 year gap
On the whole, those saying yes will take setbacks much better than those saying no - they're more likely to be the toy throwers when we lose the odd game... Just an opinion
I'd have thought it would be completely the other way around. Us yessers are throwing caution to the wind.
38.75% does not align with 5/2. 5/2 is a 28.6% chance.
beorhthelm
A. Virgo, Football Genius
- Jul 21, 2003
- 35,299
bookies odds are not an accurate guide to mathematical probabilities, they are based on the opinion of bookies and the punters, hedged (supposedly) in the bookies favour.
GT49er
Well-known member
No chance! I'm enjoying the ride, and I'll stick with it, thank you.
Yes they're hedged in the bookies favour, so we should have even less chance than 12%.
And of course it's not perfectly accurate, but it's as good a guide as we get. Our chairman makes money by his team analysing all the games and odds and finding examples of where the bookies odds are not quite right, but the differences are very marginal, so like I say, the odds are as good an indication as you can get (short of having Mr Bloom's company work it out for you). And we don't have a 25% chance of finishing in the top two.
um bongo molongo
Well-known member
To back you up, we're currently 9/4 to go up. In a play off final you'd imagine we'd be somewhere around evens, maybe less to go up (taking out the draw), depending on who we were playing. So I'd bite your hand off for a guaranteed final place now.
Mutts Nuts
New member
- Oct 30, 2011
- 4,918
Too many strong sides around us this season that have ambition for promotion , without a decent striker we are not going up.
New 5 year plan needed, the pundits are not ignoring us for nothing they know what they are talking about
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GT49er
Well-known member
Finishing in the top two? Well, we either will or we won't.........that's a fifty/fifty in my book!
GT49er
Well-known member
BrianWade4
Well-known member
Yes
As its a 50:50 chance of promotion
As its a 50:50 chance of promotion
Rambo
Don't Push me
Why are we having this debate? Have the rules changed, can we now cash out early and accept a play off final place? Jesus
Pavilionaire
Well-known member
- Jul 7, 2003
- 30,564
No brainer to take the play-off final option. Our strikers aren't at the races at the moment.
Nixonator
Well-known member
I'd take a guaranteed playoff final win.
Moshe Gariani
Well-known member
- Mar 10, 2005
- 12,071
Assuming we do get given a place in the Play Off final, would you take a penalty shoot out if offered ...?
el punal
Well-known member
Yep, go for it. Unless we completely fall apart we'll be in the play-offs anyway - does it really matter whether we lose in the semis or the final, either way you're out. Let's go for glory and aim for first or second - you just never know.
Working class pride
Banned
- Feb 14, 2010
- 4,932
How about a winners mentality? If we finish below Burnley or Hull then we deserve to stay down. Winners win. Over to you players, are you winners or not? First is first, second acceptable because its promotion. Play offs, well win it and the players get out of jail. Lose it and they have failed. That's the bottom line. Remember palace who couldnt get anyone to watch them are Premier league FA Cup semi finalists. Lower league failure is, no matter how you dress it up, just lower league failure. How a club who get 25000 in the lower leagues accepts this is just absurd.