- Thread starter
- #801
Damn, I've been rumbled.
I'll try and get it back up to a 3 point gap next week.
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General Election 2015
- Thread starter Herr Tubthumper
- Start date
Damn, I've been rumbled.
I'll try and get it back up to a 3 point gap next week.
TomandJerry
Well-known member
- Oct 1, 2013
- 11,462
Labour opens up five-point poll lead over Tories
Conservative support drops to 28% after autumn statement, the party’s lowest score since May last year
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/dec/17/labour-five-point-poll-lead-tories
Conservative support drops to 28% after autumn statement, the party’s lowest score since May last year
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/dec/17/labour-five-point-poll-lead-tories
London Irish
Well-known member
That's a big Labour majority but I'm still hoping for the Labour-SNP dream ticket
seagullsovergrimsby
#cpfctinpotclub
This could be a rogue poll , a 3% drop for Tory support appears to have been mopped up by the LibDems
melias shoes
Well-known member
- Oct 14, 2010
- 4,830
Living nightmare more like.
Poll in the Guardian......move on.
Machiavelli
Well-known member
My thoughts exactly. That would be a delicious outcome, because they just wouldn't know what to do, and might actually resort to being radical for a change.
Machiavelli
Well-known member
This could be a rogue poll , a 3% drop for Tory support appears to have been mopped up by the LibDems
It's not rogue. It's all to do with the critique that at long last has been made of the Tories' plans to reduce the state to 1930s levels. That decade was known as the 'devil's decade' for a reason.
Vegas Seagull
New member
- Jul 10, 2009
- 7,782
This could be a rogue poll , a 3% drop for Tory support appears to have been mopped up by the LibDems
Indeed, A 25% rise in LD vote ludicrous
I am unconvinced that a telephone poll gives a representative sample, less unemployment in southern Tory voting areas so less time to chat on the phone or more interested in giving opinion??
Are ex directory numbers evenly spread across country?
seagullsovergrimsby
#cpfctinpotclub
Yeah right , the LD on 14% whereas all the other recent polls have them neck and neck with the Greens on 7% - 8%
seagullsovergrimsby
#cpfctinpotclub
I keep an eye on the rolling averages as the opinion poll data is gathered differently by the polling organisations , phone or online and then applying a methodology (demographics , age , gender etc) to arrive at a weighted average. There is also a margin of error of plus or minus 3% although this in most instances is only 1% either way.
beorhthelm
A. Virgo, Football Genius
- Jul 21, 2003
- 35,310
how would this be a dream ticket? wouldnt it be just the same as the last Labour government, only with fractuous, devisive infighting. it would be of some entertainment value.
Machiavelli
Well-known member
Yeah right , the LD on 14% whereas all the other recent polls have them neck and neck with the Greens on 7% - 8%
In case it escaped your attention, I was referring to the Tories -- and their ideological plan to shrink the state back to 1930s levels -- rather than the Lib Dems. I hope the Lib Dems don't reap the rewards of people deserting the Tories, but it'll be interesting to see where support goes. I was trying to point out that the critique -- made by Lib Dems, Labour, the Greens and others -- of the Tories plan to shrink the state was having an effect. I suspect that it will continue to. We'll find out if this feeling is correct.
seagullsovergrimsby
#cpfctinpotclub
Chill bro , the Tories are on the slide.
beorhthelm
A. Virgo, Football Genius
- Jul 21, 2003
- 35,310
buying into the 1930's myth. the size of the state at current spending projection will be that of about 2002. its coming from a measurment as % GDP, however in real terms its about 3 times more than the 1930's and GDP per capita has risen similar amount. fact is in 1930's there wasnt a welfare state to speak of and we are spending £380bn on pensions, healthcare and welfare this year, so the comparison is laughable.
- Thread starter
- #816
So, over 4 months after I started this thread Labour are still holding onto a commanding lead. Roll on May.
Well YouGov only gives them a 1% lead - Con 33%, Lab 34%, LD 6%, UKIP 16% - so I wouldn't go getting too cocky yet if I were you.
- Thread starter
- #818
You don't believe that YouGov poll do you?
vegster
Sanity Clause
- May 5, 2008
- 27,893
It will be a carve up and hopefully Farage will have some sort of say in what happens in the event of a hung parliament.......it will be the ONLY time he has any say mind you, If the foaming at the mouth Kippers get any sort of control we will be royally going to hell in a handcart.
YouGov tends to match most the other main polls more or less most of the time. As has already been pointed out, I'd trust it more than a Guardian poll that adds three points to the Lib Dems - that immediately raises questions over accuracy.