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[Albion] Watford v BHA - Premier League - SCORE PREDICTOR - Now in its 8th SEASON !!
- Thread starter Steve Foster
- Start date
Saladpack Seagull
Just Shut Up and Paddle
New season resolution - remember to actually do the Score Predictor, and try to do much better than my previous predictions. Usually can't tip rubbish. Going 1-1 this time.
Last season I would have predicted 2-0 to Watford, but after our excellent transfer business this summer, and a season in the Premier under our belts, I''m going for 2-1 to us.
I also think we're going to finish in 10th place this season
Is there Poll on here for predicting where we're going to finish?
I also think we're going to finish in 10th place this season
Is there Poll on here for predicting where we're going to finish?
Change at Barnham
Well-known member
0-0.
Solid defensive displays from two conservative sides.
Solid defensive displays from two conservative sides.
Not a single correct score out of the 43 i predicted last season so stay away from 1-2
What were the odds of that? Let's say that on average a game can end anything between 0-0 and 3-3 (some results are more likely, and some less, but 1-5 etc is extremely rare so let's ignore). So with 0-1 up to 3-2 etc, there are the following possible likely results:
0-0 1-0
0-1 1-1
0-2 1-2
0-3 1-3 etc - can't be arsed to fill full table: 16 possible results
So for each prediction you have on average a 1/16 chance of being right. For a 43 game season your odds improve to 43/16. This means you can expect to get 2-3 predictions correct over a season purely by chance. To get none correct by chance should only occur once every 2-3 years. Anything better reflects skill. Anything worse reflects stupidity. Let's se how you do this season eh? I would precict you are almost certain to get at least one point.
Taybha
Whalewhine
Thank's i reckon the stupid equation suits my reasoning perfectly , it's a bit of a enigma as i finished the season £875 up for a average bet lay out of £3. , admittedly £835 of that was won in the world cup
seagull_special
Well-known member
Last time I predicted a correct score Bruno had hair on his head. Going for an optimistic 2:1 to the good guys.
Gabbafella
Well-known member
- Aug 22, 2012
- 4,723
Seeing as though I got the square root of **** all correct last season, I'm going to say don't put your money on 1-2.
Dirty Dave
Well-known member
1-1
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Sent from my SM-J530F using Tapatalk
Steve Foster
Well-known member
- Thread starter
- #32
A win would be wonderful but no doubt we will set up to not lose. 1-1 seems about right for me.
persian_pooya
New member
0-2 Albion!
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Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
I'm going with 1-1. I'm just not sure which side I'll pick as the Wheel win.
Thanks for doing this Steve. I've gone 0-0 - I think this year I may keep a record to try to work out whether I'm optimistic, pessimistic or realistic.
Two Professors
Two Mad Professors
Not a single correct score out of the 43 i predicted last season so stay away from 1-2
Think my results were the same.Used to do much better on the BBC prediction thread you ran.Also going for 1 - 2 Albion,as Deeney is bound to score.
LamieRobertson
Not awoke
Any chance of a revamp ...say one point for getting the result right and two/three for the score? ..I'm useless at predicting the actual score 
I'm not one who thinks Watford will go down. They has a lot of injuries last season and if they field their first XI can put out a very strong side. LIke Brighton they are not very successful at defending corners,
I am relying on Britos to give us the draw.
I am relying on Britos to give us the draw.
Steve Foster
Well-known member
- Thread starter
- #40
Any chance of a revamp ...say one point for getting the result right and two/three for the score? ..I'm useless at predicting the actual score
I have toyed with this but given that I am working even the current basic system can take an hour or more to update after a match - if a lot of people have correctly got the score right. When the Score Predictor started 8 seasons ago up to 100 pollsters placed a score. It can now be 400 or more!