[Albion] 1% chance of relegation

warmleyseagull · Mar 10, 2018

Farehamseagull said:
Might be a slight misunderstanding on your part, I think he’s just helpfully copied and pasted the article for us to read?

Indeed, thank you.

Jim D · Mar 10, 2018

Uncle Spielberg said:
Nearer 5% according to the bookies

If the bookies were giving odds based on a 1% chance they would be 3 or 4 times what they currently are. They aren't well known for giving mug punters a level break.

Weststander · Mar 10, 2018

Jim D said:
If the bookies were giving odds based on a 1% chance they would be 3 or 4 times what they currently are. They aren't well known for giving mug punters a level break.

Bookies odds reflect punter cash flows, including irrational herd mentality and bias to clubs, with the ensuing risks to bookies.

The excellent Times articles are based on real football data, as analysed by a team of academics.

Pantani · Mar 10, 2018

Baldseagull said:
Basically it is good evidence that statistics can be misused.

I think it is clear that any statistical analysis that has a team promoted from League 1 with 85 goals and 95 points whilst having the 90th best attack in the entire football league is making some pretty appalling conclusions on what certain numbers mean/indicate.

seagull_special · Mar 10, 2018

DumLum said:
Barnes did miss an incredible amount of chances that season even though he scored 20.

I wonder what happened to him, probably playing for Tower Hamlets or something.

Blues Rock DJ · Mar 11, 2018

warmleyseagull said:
Indeed, thank you.

apologies, just read said article !

S'hampton Seagull · Mar 11, 2018

BN41Albion said:
Finktanks sound like a load of bollocks to me judging by that article!

Bottom of league 2 attack but premier league defence in 2011... Eh?!

Agree, Murray, Barnes and Wood have not amounted to much since [emoji85]

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R. Slicker · Mar 11, 2018

Thunder Bolt said:
Brighton have long been a defensive side. In fact at one point, when leaving League One for the Championship in 2011, they had a Premier League defence (18th in our all-team ranking) but a bottom-of-League Two attack (a remarkable 90th).

A bottom of League Two attack in 2011? Murray scored 23, Barnes scored 20, along with Wood, Sandaza, Bennett and others. How the heck is that a bottom of League Two attack?

Barnes brought that average down quite a long way.

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Icy Gull · Mar 11, 2018

DumLum said:
Barnes did miss an incredible amount of chances that season even though he scored 20.

Kane has missed quite a few this season too....

Icy Gull · Mar 11, 2018

DumLum said:
Barnes did miss an incredible amount of chances that season even though he scored 20.

Kane has missed quite a few this season too....

HastingsSeagull · Mar 11, 2018

90th best attack that season? They can't have watched us very often as I remember some great fun.

DumLum · Mar 11, 2018

Icy Gull said:
Kane has missed quite a few this season too....

If Kane had played for us when the Amex was built I believe we would be an established premier league team by now. Don't you?

Triggaaar · Mar 11, 2018

HastingsSeagull said:
90th best attack that season? They can't have watched us very often as I remember some great fun.

Like the mad game against Carlisle.

Icy Gull · Mar 11, 2018

DumLum said:
If Kane had played for us when the Amex was built I believe we would be an established premier league team by now. Don't you?

Nope because we would have been forced to sell him years ago. :smile:

warmleyseagull · Mar 11, 2018

Blues Rock DJ said:
apologies, just read said article !

Accepted, thanks.

LamieRobertson · Mar 11, 2018

DumLum said:
If Kane had played for us when the Amex was built I believe we would be an established premier league team by now. Don't you?

He’s played at the Amex and had an off day

DumLum · Mar 11, 2018

LamieRobertson said:
He’s played at the Amex and had an off day

Sat on the bench with Wood and Knockaert? Came on for the last twenty minutes? I don't remember it myself even though I was there.

Sheebo · Mar 11, 2018

Thunder Bolt said:
Brighton have long been a defensive side. In fact at one point, when leaving League One for the Championship in 2011, they had a Premier League defence (18th in our all-team ranking) but a bottom-of-League Two attack (a remarkable 90th).

A bottom of League Two attack in 2011? Murray scored 23, Barnes scored 20, along with Wood, Sandaza, Bennett and others. How the heck is that a bottom of League Two attack?

Exactly my thoughts when I read that?! It’s nonsense. Under Gus, the year we won the league we were absolutely fantastic and a very attacking team!

LamieRobertson · Mar 11, 2018

DumLum said:
Sat on the bench with Wood and Knockaert? Came on for the last twenty minutes? I don't remember it myself even though I was there.

I remember Knockaert coming on (and causing us problems)...i thought Kane started...maybe my memory fails me

Herr Ing Gull · Mar 11, 2018

I've no idea about the statistics but maybe they give a clue to the thinking behind not giving Murray the contract nearly everyone thought he deserved.

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