Nice work. You have earned a pedant star.
FatSuperman is always hanging around.
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[Football] Statistics - I hate statistics!
- Thread starter InsaneSociety
- Start date
FatSuperman is always hanging around.
GT49er
Well-known member
I'm in need of help here (special help too I know), what errors would they be?
Right, but there's a quarter of the season to go, so the average should be close to 6.
Seriously guys, we need games played plus 5% to stay up, I think we're all agreed on that even though I feel 36 will do it. So 38 games plus 5% (2.4pts) = 40.4, I'll take the point 4 as our goal diff. We have 34 points and are sitting 10th FFS, two wins does it, come on, jump on the happy bus we're in a great place and one that you'd have taken on Day 1 of the season.
You don't even agree with it!
Of course we would
Fair point, most people express that 40 pts is the number of points needed to ensure safety, although I feel 36 would do it.
Yeah the 40 points thing has been in the media recently as an old figure used when there were more teams in the league. Also when managers talk of a target, it's a bit silly if they're aiming for 37, as 37 is normally enough, only for them to then get relegated because a couple more is needed in a particular season.
So 40 points is a good target, and teams feel a bit safer then (although teams have still been relegated with 40 in the past). But I'd guess we won't quite need 40 this season.
Agreed, 36.6 has been the average requirement, I do think, with our goal difference, 36 would see us safe BUT I'm happier to bank 40!! (I think we'll end up with 43 anyway.)
InsaneSociety
Wag
- Thread starter
- #31
I acknowledge there are still a few mistakes, but after the first were alerted, I've spent all day getting it right. My main mistake was not updating properly after Sat/Sun?Mon games, but I'm confident it is correct now.
I've also done a table against the top 6 which contains all the scores. No school boy errors, but if I have made one, please tell me. I'll update both tables and publish here each Monday until the end of the season.
I did say it was worthless didn't I?
I've also done a table against the top 6 which contains all the scores. No school boy errors, but if I have made one, please tell me. I'll update both tables and publish here each Monday until the end of the season.
I did say it was worthless didn't I?
warmleyseagull
Well-known member
To be precise, 123 matches played vs top 6. By end of season 168 matches played. Based on expected value 6 for the season, the mean points achieved to date should be 123/168*6 = 4.39, close to achieved to date as OP has shown.
Thunder Bolt
Silly old bat
Which errors?
The Andy Naylor Fan Club
Well-known member
I can't point out my own mistakes, someone else needs to do that.Oy! Triggaaars' the resident pedant.
What's does this mean?
Triggaaars'
So much for precision and accuracy.
larus
Well-known member
OMG!! Do you know what you’ve done man? Really?
[MENTION=4019]Triggaaar[/MENTION] is the Lord Pedant. You’ve been pedantic to him. This could be serious - I’d advise taking precautions. Don’t walk home alone, it’s just not worth the risk.
Right, so you're agreeing with me, yes?
looney
Banned
- Jul 7, 2003
- 15,652
Those numbers cant be right, the points gap between us and palace is 7, theyve got one more point of top 6 which makes it 8 not 4.
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warmleyseagull
Well-known member
Trig and I have this occasional flirtatious fling on the pedant dance floor. It’s nothing serious, just a bit of fun. I can’t keep up with his prodigious output.