But it's taken us 20 games against non top 6 to get 6 wins, and we only have 6 similar games left. And one of those is away to Everton.3 more wins could be enough
But it's taken us 20 games against non top 6 to get 6 wins, and we only have 6 similar games left. And one of those is away to Everton.3 more wins could be enough
I think that is the number now. Especially after Newcastle and Huddersfield both picked up 3 points in Sunday.
Even if 2 teams fall adrift, you've still got to get more points than the 18th placed team and from where we are today with 11 games to go, it is very realistic for most of the teams around us to pick up 3 wins and 2 draws out of 11 games and that would see the mark at around 38 for survival.
We've had a lot of big games lately, but the Swansea one us mahoosive. There are lots of other factors, but given how few genuinely winnable games there are left, I think that if we win that then we will make it OK by the end of the season. If we lose or draw, then we are going to have to put in some performances against the top 9 which we have yet to achieve this far.
Agreed. I do think though we will get something from a big team before the season is out, as we get more and more desperate for points. All will be good
Which one? Under the cosmic laws of Internet Football Forums you have to name the team we will beat and then depending on the result, return to this thread and either celebrate your foresight or hang your head in shame.
We will get three points off Spurs. You heard it here first
Still think 37 pts will be enough but wouldn't put my house on it.
But half of ours are against top 6. Not good.Albion, Palace, West Brom - 6 home games left
Easy mistake to make - but bookie giving odds of 3/1 means they break even if the event happens 25% of the time.3/1 at Betfair, 33%, I'd say this is a more realistic chance than 22% personally.
Easy mistake to make - but bookie giving odds of 3/1 means they break even if the event happens 25% of the time.
Suggests they think the actual frequency will be at most 20% of the time.
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But the implied probability is 33%, ignoring the bookies overround shenanigans.
No, erkan is correct. 3/1 represents 1 chance in 4 = 25%
2/1 would imply a probability of 33% (again, ignoring the overround)
The game at home against Swansea is probably our most important game in a few years. Certainly a 6 pointer and could well be the 3 points that keep us in the PL. I think we have turned the corner with being too passive and feel confident we are have enough fire power and depth and good enough to stay up this season on merit (and not praying for luck around you like most Palace fans every season who always relying on every team around them to be more shit) Which annoyingly they have got away with for at least a few years.
has to be fill yer boots time. We needed a minimum of 7 pts and can still get 8 by beating Swans but it is putting massive pressure on a home game against a bang in form side.
I wish I shared your confidence re putting passivity behind us, particularly away from home but the evidence at St Marys and Bet 365 is that we still let the tempo drop too much and invited both teams onto us. Pellegrino and Lambert both made two changes before we reacted and these changes gave both teams fresh impetus. We are not good enough to keep clean sheets for long periods and in both those two games, we were in control and winning but allowed two struggling teams back in the game.
Despite their rich vein of form, Swansea have won about 1 game away from home in the last two months and only 2 games away from home overall. They’ll see a draw as a brilliant result but if we perform like we did against the likes of Watford, Burnley and West Ham; we should get our 3 points. We’re staying up!
We will get three points off Spurs. You heard it here first