I think that is the number now. Especially after Newcastle and Huddersfield both picked up 3 points in Sunday.
Even if 2 teams fall adrift, you've still got to get more points than the 18th placed team and from where we are today with 11 games to go, it is very realistic for most of the teams around us to pick up 3 wins and 2 draws out of 11 games and that would see the mark at around 38 for survival.
We've had a lot of big games lately, but the Swansea one us mahoosive. There are lots of other factors, but given how few genuinely winnable games there are left, I think that if we win that then we will make it OK by the end of the season. If we lose or draw, then we are going to have to put in some performances against the top 9 which we have yet to achieve this far.
Do Premier League teams really need 40 points to avoid relegation?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/43049564
Err.....
Good article.
"At this stage, it is certain that 40 points will be enough to stay up"
Less than 1 point between them at the moment (SCC much better GD). SCC have 3 top 6 left, Hudds have 4. I guess people still expect SCC to turn it around, whereas Huddersfield have done well to get where they are.Not sure I believe that Huddersfield are twice as likely to be relegated as Southampton
No, not mathematically. If all the bottom teams won every game against the Top 6 the final standings would be mentalNot mathematically, right? But I guess they're saying bar an absolute freak run of results?
Interesting article and I like the last line. Pardew would be better off with a bottle of meths.
So if either us or Man City get through to the FA Cup QF (at least one of us will), and if Man City make the Champions League QF (they already have), then our run-in will probably change to:
14/4 - Palace (a)
17/4 - Man City (a)
21/4 - Spurs (h)
28/4 - Burnley (a)
05/5 - Man U (h)
13/5 - Liverpool (a)
Hmmm. Challenging.