[Albion] Which 3 teams are going down rather than us?

H

Hampster Gull

New member

Dec 22, 2010

13,462

• Jan 3, 2018

• #61

Bold Seagull said:

They're only 2 points above us, only 5 points above the drop zone. They've just lost 7 of their last 9 games picking up just 4 points. If they repeat that form they'll be in the mix big time.

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You might be right but I just don’t think it will happen. Only one team in the last 30 (10 years) have been relegated after having more than 23 points after 22 games. That’s about 3% and I think that’s about right for their probability of going down. Btw I really hope I am wrong and you’re right

 

M

MattBackHome

Well-known member

Jul 7, 2003

11,723

• Jan 3, 2018

• #62

10. Albion
...
18. Stoke
19. Swansea
20. Baggies

 

N

Napper

Well-known member

Jul 9, 2003

23,872

Sussex

• Jan 3, 2018

• #63

Stoke will pick up when Hughes goes

Swansea will rally as got out of a bigger hole last year.

WBA look doomed but this changes every few weeks.

Fear for us at the moment.

Sorry

 

perseus

Broad Blue & White stripe

Jul 5, 2003

23,456

Sūþseaxna

• Jan 3, 2018

• #64

3 from 10


ww.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/premier-league

http://www.worldfootball.net/table_calculator/eng-premier-league/

 

perseus

Broad Blue & White stripe

Jul 5, 2003

23,456

Sūþseaxna

• Jan 3, 2018

• #65

perseus said:

3 from 10


ww.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/premier-league

http://www.worldfootball.net/table_calculator/eng-premier-league/

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Did the calculator and we will have to do better as I have us going down on 36 pts with Southampton and Swansea, whereas 37 pts would have kept us up.

Got us as a 1-1 draw at WBA when a victory is needed to make up for drawing with Bournemouth. Everton are not safe yet.

 

perseus

Broad Blue & White stripe

Jul 5, 2003

23,456

Sūþseaxna

• Jan 4, 2018

• #66

How do we get 37 pts?

 

Lurchy

Well-known member

Jul 2, 2014

2,350

• Jan 4, 2018

• #67

West Ham
West Brom
Swansea

Don't expect Hughes to last much longer at Stoke, and can see them having a bump in form once he's gone and they've got someone else in.

 

Kalimantan Gull

Well-known member

Aug 13, 2003

12,923

Central Borneo / the Lizard

• Jan 4, 2018

• #68

perseus said:

Did the calculator and we will have to do better as I have us going down on 36 pts with Southampton and Swansea, whereas 37 pts would have kept us up.

Got us as a 1-1 draw at WBA when a victory is needed to make up for drawing with Bournemouth. Everton are not safe yet.

View attachment 92515

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perseus said:

How do we get 37 pts?

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Get a point last day of the season

 

Bold Seagull

strong and stable with me, or...

Mar 18, 2010

29,789

Hove

• Jan 4, 2018

• #69

Napper said:

Stoke will pick up when Hughes goes

Swansea will rally as got out of a bigger hole last year.

WBA look doomed but this changes every few weeks.

Fear for us at the moment.

Sorry

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Why wouldn't anyone be worried for us? We are in the Premier League battling for safety. Did anyone seriously have any illusions that after 22 games we'd be sitting around waiting for the next game feeling safe and looking at European places!? Of course its in the balance, got to start having a bit of backbone about it though.

Blimey, we have 23 points on the board, 7 more than Swansea and West Brom, requiring a complete collapse in our form, which is yet to happen this season as we've consistently picked up points, and hell of a recovery from both those two. Our biggest worry is the 3rd spot, as we're all within 5 points from Stoke to Watford, 9 teams with any kind of slip will find themselves sucked down there.

Not sure why you fear for us anymore than the other 11 sides that realistically could go down. Got to have a bit of faith in the side. Sorry.

 

Bold Seagull

strong and stable with me, or...

Mar 18, 2010

29,789

Hove

• Jan 4, 2018

• #70

perseus said:

How do we get 37 pts?

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We perform slightly worse over the next 16 games than we did the previous 22.

 

Taybha

Whalewhine

Oct 8, 2008

27,179

Uwantsumorwat

• Jan 4, 2018

• #71

18 .Huddersfield 36
19.Newcastle 35
20. Swansea 31

 

Bold Seagull

strong and stable with me, or...

Mar 18, 2010

29,789

Hove

• Jan 4, 2018

• #72

Hampster Gull said:

You might be right but I just don’t think it will happen. Only one team in the last 30 (10 years) have been relegated after having more than 23 points after 22 games. That’s about 3% and I think that’s about right for their probability of going down. Btw I really hope I am wrong and you’re right

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We're statistically safe then!?

 

LlcoolJ

Mama said knock you out.

Oct 14, 2009

12,982

Sheffield

• Jan 4, 2018

• #73

Surely West Brom must be favourites for finishing bottom because Pardew. He's a total moron and would have taken the scum down if he hadn't been sacked (damn you Disney!). Can anyone really see him turning it round? I can't.

Edit..... E.g.

http://www.independent.co.uk/sport/...tion-odds-next-manager-to-leave-a8139861.html

 

S

sir albion

New member

Jan 6, 2007

13,055

SWINDON

• Jan 4, 2018

• #74

Blackadder said:

I would be surprised if you could ever find a post where Sir A says something positive about the Albion.

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Open your eyes as my positivity on here far out weighs my negativity

 

Blackadder

Brighton Bhuna Boy

Jul 6, 2003

16,077

Haywards Heath

• Jan 4, 2018

• #75

sir albion said:

Open your eyes as my positivity on here far out weighs my negativity

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H

Hampster Gull

New member

Dec 22, 2010

13,462

• Jan 4, 2018

• #76

Bold Seagull said:

We're statistically safe then!?

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Nope, sorry, we are on 23 not above. Hughton will have us sorted though

 

Kalimantan Gull

Well-known member

Aug 13, 2003

12,923

Central Borneo / the Lizard

• Jan 4, 2018

• #77

LlcoolJ said:

Surely West Brom must be favourites for finishing bottom because Pardew. He's a total moron and would have taken the scum down if he hadn't been sacked (damn you Disney!). Can anyone really see him turning it round? I can't.

Edit..... E.g.

http://www.independent.co.uk/sport/...tion-odds-next-manager-to-leave-a8139861.html

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I wonder what his recent PL record is, i.e. last so many games at Palace and first so many games at West Brom. Must be frightening

 

M

Mayonaise

Well-known member

May 25, 2014

2,114

Haywards Heath

• Jan 4, 2018

• #78

Swansea , West Brom and dont know (any 1 from a possible 5 teams incl us)

 

G

giveusfalmerplease

Well-known member

Sep 21, 2006

1,988

Not quite a million miles from Brighton

• Jan 4, 2018

• #79

Well by the end of february we will have played virtually everyone below us twice except palace. By March 1st we really need to be at least 12 points clear of 18th because it will take a miracle to pick up any points from the last 4 games (liverpool / ,man u / burnley / tottenham

 

Blue Valkyrie

Not seen such Bravery!

Sep 1, 2012

32,165

Valhalla

• Jan 4, 2018

• #80

giveusfalmerplease said:

Well by the end of february we will have played virtually everyone below us twice except palace. By March 1st we really need to be at least 12 points clear of 18th because it will take a miracle to pick up any points from the last 4 games (liverpool / ,man u / burnley / tottenham

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Huddersfield have a very tricky last 4 fixtures as well, so you never can tell.