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Acca lesson #1





Bozza

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Helpful Moderator
Jul 4, 2003
55,575
Back in Sussex
But does it? All you are doing is winning a second chance at fixed game. As the example shows statistically you will still lose money in the long run.

Yes, it very much does. On the Matched Betting service I use, people make steady regular profits by doing large numbers of low-odds accas where there is an insurance option.
 


Bozza

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Helpful Moderator
Jul 4, 2003
55,575
Back in Sussex
Yes, it does. [MENTION=6886]Bozza[/MENTION] is right. That said you do have to be very careful about the accas you take:
1) You have to take odds where the bookie has miscalculated their edge
2) Even then, if you are laying these off sequentially, you do have to hope the market isn't too volatile and that it moves against you.

You can do "no lay accas" where you don't lay anything off at all. This exposes you to considerably more variance since you are relying on some accas winning and some having a single leg fail in order to offset the losing ones, but the Expected Value is still positive.
 



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