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General Election predictions
- Thread starter lawros left foot
- Start date
happypig
Staring at the rude boys
A charismatic Conservative leader would see the Tories looking at a 100+ majority. But Theresa May has been the worst Leader, in terms of campaigning, that I can remember (except possibly Michael Howard. No, actually, even worse than him).
Even so, I reckpn a Tory majority of maybe 10-15.
Looking at afterwards:
If May doesn't get a greatly increased majority, then she's a dead woman walking. If the majority is reduced she'll be gone before the clocks go back.
If Corbyn doesn't become PM, he'll be gone. How acrimonious and damaging this is for Labour will depend on the manner of his departure.
For the life of me, though, I cannot see why she called an Election as it would either mean her or Corbyn (and possibly both) would, sooner or later, be toast. From the Tories perspective, a different Labour leader would be more likely than Corbyn to win next time.
Even so, I reckpn a Tory majority of maybe 10-15.
Looking at afterwards:
If May doesn't get a greatly increased majority, then she's a dead woman walking. If the majority is reduced she'll be gone before the clocks go back.
If Corbyn doesn't become PM, he'll be gone. How acrimonious and damaging this is for Labour will depend on the manner of his departure.
For the life of me, though, I cannot see why she called an Election as it would either mean her or Corbyn (and possibly both) would, sooner or later, be toast. From the Tories perspective, a different Labour leader would be more likely than Corbyn to win next time.
larus
Well-known member
She's far better than Corbyn, which is why many Labour supporters are considering voting Tory for the first time, and why Labour MPs resigned from his cabinet. And of course the government act like we're big players in the world stage - we have the 5th largest economy in the world, we hardly want to pretend we're insignificant when conducting our negotiations.
He just said we'd defend Gibraltar if we had to, which of course we won't have to. He should have avoided the question more, but his comment hardly matters.
Yeah, he's not a patch on Abbott.
pearl
Well-known member
Tory landslide unfortunately
30 plus Tory Majority but May will be seen to be useless at Brexit and there could be another GE election before we leave the EU. JC has done better than expected and if he picks his new shadow cabinet with a little more eye for the middle ground he could be the first post Brexit PM. I wish you all luck with that!
LamieRobertson
Not awoke
Lol..nice first paragraph ..it has to be those 'nobs' who convinced her to go for a GE
Regardless of the fact she'll have failed to increase her majority, she will have won the election - so I don't see why she'll step down. Which PM has ever done that after winning their first election?
You'd think so, but if he does well and it's close, he'll see it as a win and that the country is getting behind his ideas etc. He's refused to step down when his party asked him to, so can we be sure he would after doing quite well in the election?
LamieRobertson
Not awoke
But the perception in the last couple of weeks seems to be that May isent better than Corbyn ..how many people will go by this
Behind Enemy Lines
Well-known member
Tory majority of 44.
According to whom?
LamieRobertson
Not awoke
I'd agree with that last para
LamieRobertson
Not awoke
You need to start engaging with brighter peoplePeople I engage with ..yourself excluded
Seriously though, it's tricky to change your judgement of someone whose been avoiding interviews.
Amazes me that people would actually vote Tory based on the idea that May, Davis, Fox et al are more likely to make a success of negotiations with the EU.
Aside from the fact that the negotiations are not going to end favourably for the UK whoever is involved, I wouldn't trust that shower of halfwits in a sixth form debating society, let alone with this.
And no, I'm not a Labour supporter and I don't think that their team would necessarily did a better job. But to base your vote on these people being competent at anything is lunacy.
Tories will win, Brexit negotiations will be a disaster, May gone (the sharks are already circling after her total and utter shambles of a campaign), then....who knows?
Aside from the fact that the negotiations are not going to end favourably for the UK whoever is involved, I wouldn't trust that shower of halfwits in a sixth form debating society, let alone with this.
And no, I'm not a Labour supporter and I don't think that their team would necessarily did a better job. But to base your vote on these people being competent at anything is lunacy.
Tories will win, Brexit negotiations will be a disaster, May gone (the sharks are already circling after her total and utter shambles of a campaign), then....who knows?
Icy Gull
Back on the rollercoaster
- Jul 5, 2003
- 72,015
Right, but we need a government of some sort, and someone has to do the Brexit negotiations. So out the options available, who do you want that to be - May, or Corbyn (possibly Corbyn in a coalition government)?
happypig
Staring at the rude boys
Anthony Eden, 1957
LamieRobertson
Not awoke
You need to start engaging with brighter people
Seriously though, it's tricky to change your judgement of someone whose been avoiding interviews.
Lol true ..my opinion of her was formed long ago and she's done nothing to change it ..on the other hand would I want JC to lead this country in a crisis ..tricky for sure