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General Election 2017



clapham_gull

clapham_gull

Legacy Fan
Aug 20, 2003
25,310
To me (if the Poll is correct) is actually about the mistakes Labour have made rather than the Tories.

Now Brexit is over a "soft exit" is basically an open goal.

Get rid of the nutjob shadow chancellor and Abbot, reach out to the middle ground Labour MPs and job done.

Corbyn has realised far too late that the electorate are reasonably comfortable with his very left wing views as long as he concedes to a more balanced majority view within his own party.

If a few individuals had been dumped he way well be Prime Minister tomorrow.


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A

atomised

Well-known member
Mar 21, 2013
5,111
Bodian said:
Nope.

Yougov nowcast vs actual

Newcastle Central
Lab 63 – actual 65
Con 25 – actual 25
LD 6 – actual 6
UKIP 5 – actual 4

Houghton & Sunderland South
Lab 56 – actual 60
Con 30 -actual 29
UKIP 6 – actual 8
LD 3 – actual 2

Sunderland Central
Lab 53 vs actual 56
Cons 33 vs actual 33
UKIP 6 vs actual 5
LD 4 vs actual
Green 2 vs actual
Click to expand...

The swing as indicated by the BBC is from labour to conservative in the 2 Sunderland seats as against the exit poll predictions
 


TSB

TSB

Captain Hindsight
Jul 7, 2003
17,666
Lansdowne Place, Hove
Bodian said:
Nope.

Yougov nowcast vs actual

Newcastle Central
Lab 63 – actual 65
Con 25 – actual 25
LD 6 – actual 6
UKIP 5 – actual 4

Houghton & Sunderland South
Lab 56 – actual 60
Con 30 -actual 29
UKIP 6 – actual 8
LD 3 – actual 2

Sunderland Central
Lab 53 vs actual 56
Cons 33 vs actual 33
UKIP 6 vs actual 5
LD 4 vs actual
Green 2 vs actual
Click to expand...

What does Nowcast say for the Brighton seats?
 








S

soistes

Well-known member
Sep 12, 2012
2,643
Brighton
Labour will do worse than exit poll in "leave" seats, and better in "remain" seats . Still all to play for


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Wrong-Direction

Wrong-Direction

Well-known member
Mar 10, 2013
13,417
Back in Brighton at 6am? I'm out

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portlock seagull

portlock seagull

Why? Why us?
Jul 28, 2003
17,071
Martin Perry walking across the screen...such a media whore ;)
 








W

West Hoathly Seagull

Honorary Ruffian
Aug 26, 2003
3,540
Sharpthorne/SW11
20,000 majority for Nick Brown in Newcastle upon Tyne East. Big swing to Labour, bucking the last two results, and he's taken most of the UKIP vote too. Looks like the results are going to be very mixed, with Conservatives doing well in Leave areas, Labour taking a lot of the Remain vote.
 




B

Bolton va va

Active member
Nov 20, 2012
374
happypig said:
Tip for the future, get in something almost undrinkable for emergencies and leave it at the back of the cupboard.

Personally I've two cans of Tyskie left then I'm on the Limoncella
Click to expand...

Cinzano........every party i ever went to as a yoof, Cinzano was the last thing to get drunk, only after the toilet duck was finished.

I don't know if they still do Cinzano.
 








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