Run in analysis from Experimental 361

Couldn't Be Hyypia · Mar 18, 2017

I know our season is in our own hands, but interesting to see what 361 make of each teams run-in.

https://experimental361.com/2017/03/17/how-tough-is-each-championship-clubs-run-in/

OzMike · Mar 18, 2017

I expected Rotherham's to be all red !

OzMike · Mar 18, 2017

Looks like Sheff Weds have got it easiest.

Notters · Mar 18, 2017

I saw this yesterday but didn't really understand. Why is the leeds match not red? Am I missing something?

Couldn't Be Hyypia · Mar 18, 2017

Form can be seen here http://flpr.co.uk/

Couldn't Be Hyypia · Mar 18, 2017

Notters said:
I saw this yesterday but didn't really understand. Why is the leeds match not red? Am I missing something?

Read the explanation to understand. Link below table

Notters · Mar 18, 2017

Couldn't Be Hyypia said:
Read the explanation to understand. Link below table

I did! I'm clearly an idiot.

Couldn't Be Hyypia · Mar 18, 2017

Notters said:
I did! I'm clearly an idiot.

Clearly you aren't. The explanation is here - https://experimental361.com/2017/03/16/championship-previews-17-18-mar-2017/

Whilst Leeds are in fifth place, their form, based on opponent quality, expected results v actual etc is not great. E361 are saying 28% chance of a Leeds win (hence a red for them) and a 41% change of an Albion win (hence grey for us).

neilbard · Mar 18, 2017

Huddersfield's game against Fulham should be red? :shrug:

Steve in Japan · Mar 18, 2017

Last nights results clearly show up the shortcomings of using spreadsheet models to predict football results. Academically interesting, but of little relevance to the real world I would suggest.

Diablo · Mar 18, 2017

Notters;7848406 Why is the leeds match not red?[/QUOTE said:
Because it`s a load of Bollocks.......Leeds away is def on of our hardest games!!

Official Old Man · Mar 18, 2017

What an absolute load of rubbish. Leeds away an easy game? Meanwhile Udders can stay in bed for Fulham at home (just like Newc did).
Treat every game with 100% commitment and the top three are better teams, but expect the odd slip up.

dwayne · Mar 18, 2017

Diablo said:
Because it`s a load of Bollocks.......Leeds away is def on of our hardest games!!

On paper, but leeds aren't in the best form, from memory they're not great against the top sides either. And weve already done them convincingly this season.

Stumpy Tim · Mar 18, 2017

Normally a good website, but that's utter shite

saafend_seagull · Mar 18, 2017

dwayne said:
On paper, but leeds aren't in the best form, from memory they're not great against the top sides either. And weve already done them convincingly this season.

9 points from 5 games is top 6 form.

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Joey Jo Jo Jr. Shabadoo · Mar 18, 2017

dwayne said:
On paper, but leeds aren't in the best form, from memory they're not great against the top sides either. And weve already done them convincingly this season.

Leeds current form is very good. Over the last 6 games they are 4th, 3 wins and 3 draws, we are 3rd. Over the last 10 they are still 4th, 5 wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats, we slip to 5th.

Results against others sides in the top 6 isn't so good. Home they've beaten Wednesday and Reading and lost to Huddersfield and Newcastle. Away from home they've beaten Wednesday and lost to us and Huddersfield. They've still got to visit Newcastle and Reading.

Uh_huh_him · Mar 18, 2017

Yes this is a bit mental.

Apparently Newcastle isn't one of Wednesday's 10 toughest games..

Really?
I know they are a massive club and everything...
but Newcastle?
Not tough?

And apparently last night's game against Reading was one of their easiest.

Hmmmmm

warmleyseagull · Mar 18, 2017

Steve in Japan said:
Last nights results clearly show up the shortcomings of using spreadsheet models to predict football results. Academically interesting, but of little relevance to the real world I would suggest.

Copy and paste this post, it could be used on any number of threads. Maybe delete the last three words...

WATFORD zero · Mar 18, 2017

What happens when you let analysis get in the way of common sense

warmleyseagull · Mar 18, 2017

Joey Jo Jo Jr. Shabadoo said:
Leeds current form is very good. Over the last 6 games they are 4th, 3 wins and 3 draws, we are 3rd.

But very dependent on Woods. Just three goals from other players in those six. Keep him quiet and they will struggle to score.

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