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20 Games Left - Points Prediction







scousefan

Well-known member
Apr 26, 2009
1,242
Liverpool
I think we could easily lose away at Huddersfield, Brentford, Leeds and Villa and at home to Newcastle. I can't believe that we will lose all of those, but we could easily lose any/some of them. That should be ok, so long as we don't get a long run of draws. This does suggest how important the next couple of weeks may be, especially with a depleted squad at the moment.
 


dwayne

Well-known member
Jul 5, 2003
14,979
London
I think we could easily lose away at Huddersfield, Brentford, Leeds and Villa and at home to Newcastle. I can't believe that we will lose all of those, but we could easily lose any/some of them. That should be ok, so long as we don't get a long run of draws. This does suggest how important the next couple of weeks may be, especially with a depleted squad at the moment.
I know we don't have a great record against Brentford but we should easily beat them. Hogan is on his way and even with him in the team they are the 17th best home team in the league this season!!

Why is everyone writing that game off !?!
 




sir albion

New member
Jan 6, 2007
13,055
SWINDON
Extremely optimistic for sure, unrealistic too.

I think we will lose more than just the one, but I can't see any other team on there who we'd lose to.
If I HAD to pick 3 losses, it'd be Leeds, Brentford and Villa (who might be in a playoff push).
No we will lose more as we'll be up with 5 to spare and be on our honeymoon:)
 




deletebeepbeepbeep

Well-known member
May 12, 2009
20,961
I'd written Brentford off a few weeks ago but they are on a real slide at the moment and i doubt Hogan will be in the team when we play them.
 


Rugrat

Well-known member
Mar 13, 2011
10,215
Seaford
Pick the bones out of this ... points are likely to be 3-6 too high but I work on basis that upsets will hit teams evenly ... all about probabilities

Football.JPG
 














StonehamPark

#Brighton-Nil
Oct 30, 2010
9,780
BC, Canada
January
Cardiff (H) - 3

Feb
Hudds (A) - 1
Brentford (A) - 1
Burton (H) - 3
Ipswich (H) - 3
Barnsley (A) - 1
Reading (H) - 3
Newcastle (H) - 1

March
Forest (A) - 3
Rotherham (A) - 3
Derby (H) - 1
Leeds (A) - 0

April
Blackburn (H) - 3
Birmingham (H) - 3
QPR (A) - 1
Wolves (A) - 3
Wigan (H) - 3
Norwich (A) - 1
Bristol (H) - 3

May
Villa (A) - 1

1 down, 19 to go.
 




StonehamPark

#Brighton-Nil
Oct 30, 2010
9,780
BC, Canada
January
Cardiff (H) - 3

Feb
Hudds (A) - 1
Brentford (A) - 1
Burton (H) - 3
Ipswich (H) - 3
Barnsley (A) - 1
Reading (H) - 3
Newcastle (H) - 1

March
Forest (A) - 3
Rotherham (A) - 3
Derby (H) - 1
Leeds (A) - 0

April
Blackburn (H) - 3
Birmingham (H) - 3
QPR (A) - 1
Wolves (A) - 3
Wigan (H) - 3
Norwich (A) - 1
Bristol (H) - 3

May
Villa (A) - 1

---

Puts on 98 points.
Obviously very optimistic.

However, I see it that we can potentially lose 6-8 points from the above wins/draws.

16 games left.
26-30 points required.

1.6 - 1.9 PPG required.

Or 8 wins, 6 draws, 2 losses.
9 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses should also do it.

:albion2:
 








djlazyness

New member
Oct 21, 2011
217
Peacehaven
Ipswich (H) - 3
Barnsley (A) - 3
Reading (H) - 0
Newcastle (H) - 3

March
Forest (A) - 3
Rotherham (A) - 3
Derby (H) - 3
Leeds (A) - 0

April
Blackburn (H) - 3
Birmingham (H) - 3
QPR (A) - 3
Wolves (A) - 3
Wigan (H) - 3
Norwich (A) - 0
Bristol (H) - 3

May
Villa (A) - 1

Total = 37

Grand total = 101
 






Finchley Seagull

New member
Feb 25, 2004
6,916
North London
Are you not at all worried about Huddersfield? !

Personally, I am concerned about Huddersfield but it is beginning to look like they are our main rivals. Whatever we get from the next 16 games, Huddersfield realistically need to get 7 more points over the rest of the season and it is hard to see them keeping this form up forever. A few weeks ago, Derby looked in amazing form, Villa before them but both have dropped off now, as have Leeds with a couple of defeats so hopefully Huddersfield will have a couple of poor results, like we have over the last month.

If you look at teams below Huddersfield, Reading now need 8 more points (considering GD) than us from one less game and Leeds at least 10 more from one less game. It is a tough ask with only 15/16 games left.
 


saafend_seagull

Well-known member
Jul 5, 2003
13,891
BN1
92 points will be needed I think, however can quickly change if Huddersfield get a couple of injuries.

9 wins, 1 draw.

Home games: w6, d2 (draws Newcastle and Derby)
Away games: w2, d4, l2 (wins Rotherham, forest)
 


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