You've paid the £75 up-front right? In which case, what £75? There is no £75.
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Championship Odds Tracker
- Thread starter kingcole
- Start date
Moshe Gariani
Well-known member
- Mar 10, 2005
- 12,091
Yes. They have always strongly preferred Massive and Derby. Impressive shout if turns out right.
If you have time, I'd recommend anyone interested in these stats to read the full explanation here - https://experimental361.com/explanations/explanations-e-ratings/
The key seems to be that they assess chances made and quality of defence (for your team and all those you have yet to play) rather than just results. This takes fixture aberrations out of the reckoning. This explains why, despite winning very often, 3-6-1 consistently suggest that Reading are over-indexing and will soon drop off. As Moshe says, they have been tipping Wed and Derby consistently for some time - and I think we're starting to see that prediction develop. All those who tipped Villa to come up on the rails clearly didn't study 3-6-1 - these guys have had them as also rans for a very long time.
What I particularly like (and why I hope their model is robust) is where they have BHA of course!!
Machiavelli
Well-known member
Good question. And the same could be said for Huddersfield. What unites them both is a new manager with a distinctive style of playing, with Reading possession-based, and Huddersfield energy and the press. I still think managers haven't quite cottoned on to Reading's new approach under Stam, and that the extremely high press will be the way to expose them. Huddersfield might just be the ones to do that, but I'd imagine this is what CH and PT will have in store for them too.
clippedgull
Hotdogs, extra onions
I'm trying to get my head round this.
You've accepted a bet as a bookie (exchange) for £200 Brighton to finish 1/2/3 (promotion) @ 1.38
If we finish 4th (after play-off if neccessary) or below then you win £200 less commission.
If we finish 1/2/3 (after play-off if neccessary) then you have liability of £75 to the backer.
Your £75 is currently with the exchange, along with the backers £200 awaiting payout.
Is that correct?
if we fail to get promotion I win 200 if we get promoted I lose 75 u can back and lay on betfair betting exchange
that is correct yes I happen to think we may do it but if not I will win some Wonga and be happy to lose the £75 if u get me
Have you paid the £75 already?
no its gets held in your betfair account till the event is finished mate
so say I have £500 in my account my usable amount is 425 till the event has finished then bet settled hopefully I will be losing 75 quid
What's the difference between 'held in you account' and 'paid'? For now, it's gone right? You can't touch it.
Oj, so it's like it's already gone. That's how you should think about it.
Machiavelli
Well-known member
I just wake up in a pool of piss with empty cartons all around. It's messy, but bloody hell I've had some good times.You like to knock back orange juice
downham seagull
New member
Chap sat next to me v Palace in the play off semi. He said he bet against Albion so he was a winner both ways.just baffles me!! support the club, back the club!!
Postman Pat
Well-known member
Obviously don't lose sight of the fact that this is just a prediction method, it's not guaranteed:
I love that site, but I still struggle with how Reading are so low in their rankings. They were 23rd before today, and are now up to the heady heights of 20th!
They don't cheat. They don't just go oo look, Reading are high up the table, let's give them bonus points - they look at chances created and chances concede etc, and on that basis Reading have been poor, but a bit lucky. Reading the reports of several of their games, that sounds about right.
Not that the model is perfect (none can be), but it is well respected I believe.
Motogull
Todd Warrior
- Sep 16, 2005
- 9,863
Obviously don't lose sight of the fact that this is just a prediction method, it's not guaranteed:
Is there a slither of non-play of yellow there? Bloody hell.