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[Politics] Brexit

If there was a second Brexit referendum how would you vote?


  • Total voters
    1,081


shingle

Well-known member
Jan 18, 2004
3,141
Lewes
I think millions of my fellow citizens are stupid imperialist idiots. Am I allowed to say that?

Not quite sure how the slim majority for leave is arrived at either.

Of course you're allowed to say it, but sweeping generalisations do make you look a bit silly.
 




JC Footy Genius

Bringer of TRUTH
Jun 9, 2015
10,568
It appears that the democratic majority currently consists of undemocratic loons. Is this technically possible? Hopefully NSC undemocratic loon specialist can give us some more of his advice soon.

Obviously, one poll putting the official party of entitled undemocratic loons first outways such trifling democratic events like referendums or General elections and their supporters will be getting terribly excited but I would umbly suggest they shouldn't be preparing for government just yet. If a series of polls show similar results where Labours support has collapsed then I would expect Corbyn's inner circle would finally move to a clear, unequivocal second referendum position hoping to kill off the Lib Dem resurgence. This move is unlikely to go down well in many marginal midlands seats and northern Brexit voting constituencies. Overall I think both the Brexit party and Lib Dem poll numbers are unlikely to hold up at a general election but both could do enough damage to the big two to be decisive.

It may well come down to most remainers voting to put Corbyn and his motley, far left, anti-semitic crew so feared by business in 10 Downing street to get a second referendum ....
 


shingle

Well-known member
Jan 18, 2004
3,141
Lewes
I think he is making a lot of assumptions ,in fact he is guessing.

Ok here we go again, for those who weren't paying attention last time

Brexit party = Leave (as it says on tin)
UKIP = Leave (as it says on tin)
Conservative Vote = Mostly Leave
Labour Vote = Unknown if remain or leave
Lib/Dem = Remain, although some of their voters would have voted for them irrespective of Leave/Remain issue out of party loyalty
Green = Mostly remain, but again some of their voters voted primarily for green issues
Change Uk = Remain

Conclusion = Voting indicates narrow Leave majority.
 


golddene

Well-known member
Jul 28, 2012
1,929
Ok here we go again, for those who weren't paying attention last time

Brexit party = Leave (as it says on tin)
UKIP = Leave (as it says on tin)
Conservative Vote = Mostly Leave
Labour Vote = Unknown if remain or leave
Lib/Dem = Remain, although some of their voters would have voted for them irrespective of Leave/Remain issue out of party loyalty
Green = Mostly remain, but again some of their voters voted primarily for green issues
Change Uk = Remain

Conclusion = Voting indicates narrow Leave majority.

Every leave protagonist should have that list beside their beds, what a comforting security blanket to ponder before sleep!
 


Lever

Well-known member
Feb 6, 2019
5,375
Ok here we go again, for those who weren't paying attention last time

Brexit party = Leave (as it says on tin)
UKIP = Leave (as it says on tin)
Conservative Vote = Mostly Leave
Labour Vote = Unknown if remain or leave
Lib/Dem = Remain, although some of their voters would have voted for them irrespective of Leave/Remain issue out of party loyalty
Green = Mostly remain, but again some of their voters voted primarily for green issues
Change Uk = Remain

Conclusion = Voting indicates narrow Leave majority.

Speculation.... unknown numbers which could be discovered by another referendum or General Election, now we are more informed about the implications of the choices.
 








Lever

Well-known member
Feb 6, 2019
5,375
The top three on the list are not going to change.

Your speculation.... not fact...
Here's a contrasting speculation..... Remain vote numbers are growing and would outnumber Leave votes in another referendum.
 






nwgull

Well-known member
Jul 25, 2003
13,760
Manchester
Your speculation.... not fact...
Here's a contrasting speculation..... Remain vote numbers are growing and would outnumber Leave votes in another referendum.

And this is backed strongly up by every opinion poll from the last 6-12 months.
 








Lever

Well-known member
Feb 6, 2019
5,375
No they wouldn't. Wishful thinking I'm afraid

.... Yes, wishful speculation indeed - as is your Brexit tinted analysis.

...makes you wonder who wouldn't want to know for sure with a General Election or another Referendum....

Oh, wait though.... I think I can speculate on that as well.
 


shingle

Well-known member
Jan 18, 2004
3,141
Lewes
.... Yes, wishful speculation indeed - as is your Brexit tinted analysis.

...makes you wonder who wouldn't want to know for sure with a General Election or another Referendum....

Oh, wait though.... I think I can speculate on that as well.

Well, you're not going to get either. But, I'll make a prediction.... Don't hold me to it.

1. We will leave the EU on the 31 October with a deal so no revoking of article 50
2. Brexit will then be put to bed and when an election is called the Tories will romp home with a landslide
3. As a consequence Jezza resigns and the Lib Dems will go back to getting between 8-15 seats with the leader threatening to eat their own hat.

What say you Leves, what's your honest opinion about the outcome, not what you want, but what you think might happen.
 
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carlzeiss

Well-known member
May 19, 2009
5,845
Amazonia
https://www.euronews.com/2019/05/29...th-north-macedonia-and-albania-says-mogherini

EU membership talks should start with North Macedonia and Albania, says Mogherini

EU membership negotiations should begin with Albania and North Macedonia, according to the bloc's foreign policy chief.

Federica Mogherini, speaking at a press conference on the bloc's enlargement, said talks should start as soon as possible.

She said both countries merit having their progress acknowledged and the failure to do so would hit the EU's credibility.

The last member state to join the union was Croatia in 2013.

The recommendation comes as Albania has been gripped by violent protests in recent weeks. Demonstrators in the capital Tirana attacking the gates of prime minister Edi Rama’s office earlier this month.

Protesters are calling for Rama to resign over allegations over his alleged involvement in corruption and electoral fraud and want a snap election to be held.

The EU, along with the US government, have called Rama's government legitimate and have called for opposition parties to return to the Albanian parliament ahead of the local elections on June 30.

Albania was officially given candidate status to join the EU in June 2014. It has transitioned to a market economy and begun to open up to the whole since the fall of communism in the 1990s and the death of its strongman ruler Enver Hoxha in 1985.

Protesters have been seen waving EU flags and have used the popular slogan from the 1990s: "We want a European Albania".

North Macedonia, meanwhile, has resolved a long-running name dispute with neighbours Greece, which has opened the door to EU and NATO membership.
 


shingle

Well-known member
Jan 18, 2004
3,141
Lewes
I'm bored, why don't we all have a sweepstake, all put a quid or a fiver in and the NSCer closest to the outcome scoops the lot. Get someone neutral to decide winner

so 1 the brexit position
2 the outcome of the general election
3 party leader resignations and lib dems share of the seats

who's in
 


Lever

Well-known member
Feb 6, 2019
5,375
Well, you're not going to get either. But, I'll make a prediction.... Don't hold me to it.

1. We will leave the EU on the 31 October with a deal so no revoking of article 50
2. Brexit will then be put to bed and when an election is called the Tories will romp home with a landslide
3. As a consequence Jezza resigns and the Lib Dems will go back to getting between 8-15 seats with the leader threatening to eat their own hat.

What say you Leves, what's your honest opinion about the outcome, not what you want, but what you think might happen.

There you go... speculating and predicting again!
Seems rather like a 'blue sky' Brexit outcome as far as you are concerned.
My honest opinion (not the same as a speculation) is that the 2016 Referendum was a mistake- badly handled, full of lies and exaggerations and lacking in accessible information.
Empty threats and promises (on both sides of the argument) together with some extremely dodgy practice led to a distorted outcome and a Leave majority.

Now that we are better informed, albeit much angrier, my opinion is that we need either to revoke article 50 at least until we have sorted out some of our differences and come to some kind of consensus... or we let voters decide, preferably in a general election.
In my opinion, predictions and gambling on the possible outcomes are pointless and probably counter productive.
 
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