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Thread: Remaining fixtures for clubs in contention

  1. #31
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    Quote Originally Posted by peterward View Post
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    This.

    If we're ahead of leicester and in top 6 with 3 games to go, i'd fancy us with 2 home games and their tough last 3 with 2 away.

    But anything can happen, lose on tuesday and its all up in the air again
    With only 1 available striker that Gus is prepared to play,i have got more chance of getting to the moon than the Albion have of reaching the play offs.

  2. #32
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    10 more games and they can all rest

  3. #33
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lord Bracknell View Post
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    So far this season, Albion have won an average of 1.79 points per game at home and 1.3 points per game when playing away. That points to a further 7 points coming our way at home and 4 more points coming from away games. The most likely way that this will be achieved is:-

    Home wins against Blackpool and Wolves, a draw against Charlton, and a defeat to Leicester. An away win at Peterborough, a draw at Leeds, and a defeat to Middlesbrough.

    Alternatively, you can look at our performances against teams in the top half of the table and, separately, teams in the bottom half. We've won an average of 1.15 points per game against top half teams and 1.9 points per game against bottom half teams. Carry on like that and there are 3 points coming our way from Leicester, Middlesbough and Leeds (I reckon a victory at Leeds is the most likely way) and 8 points from the four games against bottom half opposition (wins against Peterborough and Wolves, draws against Charlton and Blackpool).

    Either way, we end up with 71 points. But we can achieve this with nothing better than a draw against Charlton and defeats against Leicester City and Middlesbrough.

    My REAL prediction is that all hell will break out on NSC if we only achieve one point from the next three games, but there's no need to panic - because we'll still be on target to get 71 points and get into the playoffs.
    What role does recently play in the stats? If you look at season averages that ignores the Ulloa effect. Would/should that influence the stats?

  4. #34
    On fire Lord Bracknell's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by TRHK View Post
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    What role does recently play in the stats? If you look at season averages that ignores the Ulloa effect. Would/should that influence the stats?
    Recent results give me more optimism. But I prefer that to be a bonus, rather than translate the optimism into numbers.

    Remember John Cleese in Clockwise? "It's not the despair, Laura. I can take the despair. It's the hope I can't stand".

    Last edited by Lord Bracknell; 31-03-2013 at 15:24.
    не съгласявам се!

    What if there were no hypothetical questions?

  5. #35
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    I just had a feeling yesterday that it wasn't the last we had seen of Nottingham Forest this year.
    Quote Originally Posted by Hillian1 View Post
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    There seems to be a pattern emerging, and it goes by the name of Pepperpot.

  6. #36
    The ONLY Gay in Brighton El Presidente's Avatar
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    Remaining fixtures for clubs in contention


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    Quote Originally Posted by screamadelica View Post
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    With only 1 available striker that Gus is prepared to play,i have got more chance of getting to the moon than the Albion have of reaching the play offs.
    That's strange, because he played two strikers in the second half at Forest yesterday.
    Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities.

  7. #37
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    Remaining fixtures for clubs in contention


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    Quote Originally Posted by Blue Valkyrie View Post
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    Really starting to enjoy the run in after the last 2 results.

    I feel good about as getting 3 points vs Charlton, and that we'll beat Leicester ( am I right in thinking Wes Morgan will be suspended ).

    At that point we are truly half way to the playoffs I'd say.
    Nope, Morgan only misses tomorrow's game

  8. #38
    Native Creative Biscuit's Avatar
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    Remaining fixtures for clubs in contention


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    Quote Originally Posted by El Presidente View Post
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    That's strange, because he played two strikers in the second half at Forest yesterday.
    ...and it worked very well! I'm excited to see the same approach on Tuesday only with the notable additions of PIG and Bridders.

  9. #39
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    I see Hull winning the championship Cardiff second ...with plenty of upsets still to happen ..Watford seem capable of scoring goals at will but nerves might get to them ...surely Leicestershire bad run will end at some time ...and so on

  10. #40
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lord Bracknell View Post
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    Recent results give me more optimism. But I prefer that to be a bonus, rather than translate the optimism into numbers.

    Remember John Cleese in Clockwise? "It's not the despair, Laura. I can take the despair. It's the hope I can't stand".

    One of my favourite quotes and often used in relation to the Albion/SNCC/England football over the years. Not sure it applies as much to the Albion these days ... We'll see.

  11. #41
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    After 90 mins yesterday we looked a very good outside chance for automatic but sadly that changed in the next couple of minutes so anything can happen between now and the end of season.

  12. #42
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    Worryingly this is how mine turned out:

    Cardiff 90
    Hull 85
    Watford 78
    Forest 73
    Palace 72
    Leicester 69
    Albion 67

    How depressing. 6 Points from next two games changes that though.

  13. #43
    On fire Lord Bracknell's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by TRHK View Post
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    One of my favourite quotes and often used in relation to the Albion/SNCC/England football over the years. Not sure it applies as much to the Albion these days ... We'll see.
    Here's ... err ... hoping.
    не съгласявам се!

    What if there were no hypothetical questions?

  14. #44
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    I had us finishing comfortably in the play-offs (and Palace and Leicester finishing outside the top 6)
    Wishful thinking maybe but I can see Palace going on a downward spiral and Leicester have such a tough run-in. FWIW, I had Birmingham just snatching the last place from Bolton and CP.

  15. #45
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lord Bracknell View Post
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    Welcome to the Stattos' Club, El P.

    This is my current season's end prediction:

    91 Cardiff City
    84 Hull City
    79 Watford
    77 Crystal Palace
    72 Nottingham Forest
    71 Brighton & Hove Albion
    69 Leicester City
    64 Bolton Wanderers
    64 Middlesbrough
    62 Millwall

    Cardiff and Hull have already done enough to secure automatic promotion. Watford and Palace are securely assured of playoff places. Forest, Albion and Leicester have stuff to play for. And the rest might as well go home.
    I have the positions the same as LB but a point closer to Leicester with draws from us keeping it too close for comfort.
    Nil illegitimum carborundum

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