Page 1 of 3 123 LastLast
Results 1 to 10 of 29
  1. #1
    Members 7oaksgull's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Location
    Sevenoaks, Kent
    Posts
    159

    How many points needed for automatic promotion?


    0 Not allowed!
    Here are the final points for the top 3 teams in League One over the last 10 years:

    1st 2nd 3rd
    2009/10 95 86 85
    2008/09 96 89 87
    2007/08 92 82 80
    2006/07 91 85 83
    2005/06 82 79 76
    2004/05 98 86 79
    2003/04 90 83 82
    2002/03 100 86 83
    2001/02 90 84 83
    2000/01 93 91 86

    So 88 points would have been enough to get automatic promotion in any year.

    We have 53 points from 27 games so it looks like another 35 points from the last 19 games will get us in the Championship.

    We have the following games left:

    Home:
    Hartlepool
    Plymouth
    Carlisle
    Tranmere
    Notts County
    Swindon
    Shef Wed
    Dag & Red
    Southampton
    Huddesfield

    Away:
    MK Dons
    Yeovil
    Brentford
    Oldham
    Dag & Red
    Rochdale
    Walsall
    Colchester
    Notts County

    Will we get at least 35 points from these 19 games?

    • North Stand Chat

      advertising
      Join Date: Jul 2003
      Posts: Lots

        


    • #2
      Slut Faced Whores Tony Meolas Loan Spell's Avatar
      Join Date
      Jul 2004
      Location
      Vamanos Pest
      Posts
      17,965


      0 Not allowed!
      On paper we shouldnt LOSE another game all season. But then Bmth turned us over but I reckon we will get close. Maybe it will be a repeat of 2005/6 where only 82 points was enough to finish top?
      Sir RANTSALOT
      BIN THE FINN or we sleepwalk into league one ambition.

      REMF quiz Runners up 2011, WINNERS 2013, Runners up 2014.
    • #3
      Who's Next? The Large One's Avatar
      Join Date
      Jul 2003
      Location
      97.2FM
      Posts
      50,698


      0 Not allowed!
      Firekin' stroll on.

      Talk about chicken-counting...
      The Albion Roar on Twitter
      New radio show on Radio Reverb 97.2FM - 'Move On Up'. Mod, soul, ska, Northern, jazz. Every other Saturday at 7pm
    • #4
      Members Simster's Avatar
      Join Date
      Jul 2003
      Location
      Surrey
      Posts
      44,753


      0 Not allowed!
      I think a low points total will do it this year. It's quite a strong division by league 1 standards, and this has meant that no team has really steam-rollered the division.
    • #5
      NOT the Honey Badger Badger's Avatar
      Join Date
      May 2007
      Location
      Toronto
      Posts
      9,638


      0 Not allowed!
      Quote Originally Posted by 7oaksgull View Post
      This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
      Here are the final points for the top 3 teams in League One over the last 10 years:

      1st 2nd 3rd
      2009/10 95 86 85
      2008/09 96 89 87
      2007/08 92 82 80
      2006/07 91 85 83
      2005/06 82 79 76
      2004/05 98 86 79
      2003/04 90 83 82
      2002/03 100 86 83
      2001/02 90 84 83
      2000/01 93 91 86

      So 88 points would have been enough to get automatic promotion in any year.

      How did you work that out? 88 points wouldn't have got us promoted in 00/01 or 08/09.

      As for this season, I reckon somewhere in the 80-85 bracket will be enough.
      Kiss my face
    • #6
      Abort, retry, fail Barrel of Fun's Avatar
      Join Date
      Aug 2005
      Location
      Sūžsēaxe: The Land of the South Saxons
      Posts
      52,977


      0 Not allowed!
      2010/11 Matches 339 : Draws 87 - 25.66%
      2009/10 Matches 552 : Draws 152 - 27.53%
      2008/09 Matches 552 : Draws 147 - 26.63%
      2007/08 Matches 552 : Draws 140 - 25.36%
      2006/07 Matches 552 : Draws 139 - 25.18%
      2005/06 Matches 552 : Draws 173 - 31.34%
      2004/05 Matches 552 : Draws 149 - 26.99%
      2003/04 Matches 552 : Draws 166 - 30.07%
      2002/03 Matches 552 : Draws 150 - 27.17%
      2001/02 Matches 552 : Draws 152 - 27.54%
      2000/01 Matches 552 : Draws 151 - 27.36%

      Percentage/amount of draws, thus depriving the points pool of 1 point per game.
      You are the result of 4 billion years of evolutionary success. Act like it.
    • #7
      Members 7oaksgull's Avatar
      Join Date
      Jan 2010
      Location
      Sevenoaks, Kent
      Posts
      159


      0 Not allowed!
      Quote Originally Posted by Badger View Post
      This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
      How did you work that out? 88 points wouldn't have got us promoted in 00/01 or 08/09.

      As for this season, I reckon somewhere in the 80-85 bracket will be enough.
      Sorry, the way I loked at is was in 00/01 the team finishing 3rd had 86 points. In 08/09 the team finishing third had 87 points. So 88 points would have been enough for the team finishing in second place...
    • #8
      Members OSRGull's Avatar
      Join Date
      Jan 2011
      Location
      N1A
      Posts
      5,079


      0 Not allowed!
      Quote Originally Posted by 7oaksgull View Post
      This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
      Here are the final points for the top 3 teams in League One over the last 10 years:

      1st 2nd 3rd
      2009/10 95 86 85
      2008/09 96 89 87
      2007/08 92 82 80
      2006/07 91 85 83
      2005/06 82 79 76
      2004/05 98 86 79
      2003/04 90 83 82
      2002/03 100 86 83
      2001/02 90 84 83
      2000/01 93 91 86

      So 88 points would have been enough to get automatic promotion in any year.

      We have 53 points from 27 games so it looks like another 35 points from the last 19 games will get us in the Championship.

      We have the following games left:

      Home:
      Hartlepool -3
      Plymouth-3
      Carlisle-1
      Tranmere-3
      Notts County-3
      Swindon-3
      Shef Wed-1
      Dag & Red-3
      Southampton-1
      Huddesfield-1

      Away:
      MK Dons-3
      Yeovil-1
      Brentford-1
      Oldham-1
      Dag & Red-3
      Rochdale-1
      Walsall-0
      Colchester-0
      Notts County-3

      Will we get at least 35 points from these 19 games?
      That's 34 points, and even that would take us to 87 so it's going to be hard.
    • #9

      0 Not allowed!
      Still need another 12wins. Definitely do-able but also far easier said than done. As Gus says we are potentially our own worst enemy this season. We have to remain focused ignore what the other teams are doing and maintain our good form.
    • #10

      0 Not allowed!
      Another 11 wins and a couple of draws would see us home, allowing us another 4 defeats, unless of course we end up drawing a lot of games. A lot of ifs and buts in there but if we target say 12 wins then we'll be promoted.

      I would target these 16 games as great chances of securing maximum points, this would leave room for a few inevitable hiccups as well as the trickier games against SCC, Huddersfield and Oldham

      Home:
      Hartlepool
      Plymouth
      Carlisle
      Tranmere
      Notts County
      Swindon
      Shef Wed
      Dag & Red

      Away:
      MK Dons
      Yeovil
      Brentford
      Dag & Red
      Rochdale
      Walsall
      Colchester
      Notts County

      To conclude, yes I think we'll do it

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •