TSB
Captain Hindsight
Am I missing something here?
Netweather says chance of snow for BN3 this weekend is ZERO.
Netweather says chance of snow for BN3 this weekend is ZERO.
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[Misc] The Award-winning official "More Snow Tomorrow?" Thread [2023-24 Season]
- Thread starter Giraffe
- Start date
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Yep. it's there in the model data - another cold outbreak, slightly less cold each time.
Green Cross Code Man
Wunt be druv
Hahaha!
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
The netweather forecasts chop and change drastically from one model run to the next. What I saw with the first Beasterly was that the Netweather forecasts were predicting snow fall armageddon for a while, then decided it wasn't going to snow at all, then started saying it would snow, but later, then brought that snow forward, then decided that it wouldn't snow, then suddenly decided that, actually, yes it would very late on before the first snow fell.
Seeing it do the same thing this time around: every time a new model run comes out, and the forecasts update, the snow %'s change. It's been flip-flopping all over the place and currently showing no snow for the weekend, but a brief shower of snow on Wednesday (wtf?!).
I believe the Netweather forecasts are automated from the GFS model runs, and from memory the GFS isn't great at predicting convective snow. The wind directions they're predicting for tomorrow and Sunday would seem to put us in the firing line for a streamer, though, so I wouldn't be surprised to be seeing snow falling tomorrow despite the Met Office amber warning implying a Thames streamer (which tends to occur with near direct easterlies) is expected rather than the Kent streamers (north-easterly winds) that hit us last time out.
At this point, probably best to keep an eye on the radar tomorrow morning and see what develops and what direction it's travelling as it starts up.
SpongebobSquarepants
Well-known member
Forget all this snow talk...when is it gonna get warmer?
Bring on Spring
Bring on Spring
casbom
Well-known member
- Jul 24, 2007
- 2,581
All I know is that it's going to be bloody cold for the next 2 or 3 days with temps close to freezing with a biting wind! Some places will see snow falling and some places will see that snow settle into a few cms.
The vagueness on the official forecasts is due to the LP that is yet to form (I believe) so it's difficult to know how quickly it forms and how far north it gets. It could well form late which means any snow might end up over the west country instead of here. (The fax last night showed something like this).
There is also the problem of the front that is coming down from the NE which is expected to gradually peter out over the SE so not giving us much snow. However some short range models now see this re-invigorating which could give up to 5cm in places (Kent currently favoured for this if it happens) so it's constantly evolving. That's without the added potential Thames Streamer.
So it really will be a case of looking at the radar or looking out the window over both days to see what's happening!
The vagueness on the official forecasts is due to the LP that is yet to form (I believe) so it's difficult to know how quickly it forms and how far north it gets. It could well form late which means any snow might end up over the west country instead of here. (The fax last night showed something like this).
There is also the problem of the front that is coming down from the NE which is expected to gradually peter out over the SE so not giving us much snow. However some short range models now see this re-invigorating which could give up to 5cm in places (Kent currently favoured for this if it happens) so it's constantly evolving. That's without the added potential Thames Streamer.
So it really will be a case of looking at the radar or looking out the window over both days to see what's happening!
.......or sitting motionless in your car somewhere on the M6/M40/M25 at 2am trying to get home from Manchester after 2cm of snow has caused total carnage [emoji33][emoji33][emoji24][emoji24]
What a difference just 35 miles and a little bit of altitide makes. Saturday - Brighton 2c with a dusting of snow/sleet, Biggin Hill -2c with snow all day long, heavy for periods.
Green Gull
New member
- Feb 25, 2018
- 258
It's looking like the majority of any substantial snow will fall slightly north and to the west of us, as per usual....
With any luck we might get caught in a line of streamer snow showers which could amount to a fair bit. I think It will be hit & miss though.
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With any luck we might get caught in a line of streamer snow showers which could amount to a fair bit. I think It will be hit & miss though.
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Green Gull
New member
- Feb 25, 2018
- 258
How's this model looking now? Is it still the same projection or have things changed?And one of the higher res / shorter range models shows 2 pulses of snow (as [MENTION=1933]Yoda[/MENTION] s chart also shows)
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Could be worse, could be running the Moyleman.....
Good point.....luckily I already have that medal. It’s the only race I have done where the RD has finished the race briefing with an apology about how the race is ‘a right bastard’ (direct quote). And that was in ok weather [emoji23][emoji23]
It’s going to be taters in Manchester tomorrow night. I’m wearing my thermals.
Bevendean Hillbilly
New member
Have just checked trains from Essex to Manchester for tomorrow to be told by the automatic voice on the phone that "disruption to services out of and into my town are likely to be disrupted due to weather" Cool. So Manchester , famous for shithouse weather, will be cold but sunny. Leigh on sea under heavy flump. Lovely. Piss off weather gods. Just do one.
RandyWanger
Je suis rôti de boeuf
It's snowing and settling over on the South East London / Essex boarders.
Djmiles
Barndoor Holroyd
Major flumpage around the Wycombe area en route to the game.
Green Gull
New member
- Feb 25, 2018
- 258
It's heading straight for us according to the live radar.
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Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
It's all moving South ish 