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[Misc] The Award-winning official "More Snow Tomorrow?" Thread [2023-24 Season]



Papa Lazarou

Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Jul 7, 2003
18,840
Worthing
And these upper temps (admittedly +240 hours) are probably low enough

ECM 2.png
 


Djmiles

Barndoor Holroyd
Dec 1, 2005
12,060
Kitchener, Canada
Shame these charts are 10 days away. But oh my :O
 






Djmiles

Barndoor Holroyd
Dec 1, 2005
12,060
Kitchener, Canada
It's all about the trend.

Well as long as the trend is a colder, snowier one then fantastic. I occasionally follow the chat on netweather, and a lot of it goes over my head!

If we can get anything like the Winter of 09/10 or 10/11 I’d be very happy! Looking a lot more promising, but always dubious when it comes to these charts if it’s more than 4-5 days out.
 




Papa Lazarou

Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Jul 7, 2003
18,840
Worthing
Well as long as the trend is a colder, snowier one then fantastic. I occasionally follow the chat on netweather, and a lot of it goes over my head!

If we can get anything like the Winter of 09/10 or 10/11 I’d be very happy! Looking a lot more promising, but always dubious when it comes to these charts if it’s more than 4-5 days out.

You are wise to be sceptical. A lot can go wrong
 




Uncle Spielberg

Well-known member
NSC Patreon
Jul 6, 2003
42,781
Lancing
I’d love to know what US reads from the charts as opposed the what the app on his phone tells him :eek:)

You can take the piss as much as you like but look back at the thread and you can see I have been proved to be right 99% of the time as I will this time as well as fck all will happen
 




CliveWalkerWingWizard

Well-known member
Aug 31, 2006
2,667
surrenden
You can take the piss as much as you like but look back at the thread and you can see I have been proved to be right 99% of the time as I will this time as well as fck all will happen

99 days out of 100 it doesn't snow. Do you look at the charts and analyse them like papa et al or do you just guess?
 


larus

Well-known member
99 days out of 100 it doesn't snow. Do you look at the charts and analyse them like papa et al or do you just guess?

Exactly. ANyone can say we’re unlikely to have much snow in Worthing this winter. Christ, you don’t need to be Einstein of an experience meteorologist for that.

The models aren’t failsafe and give varying predictions. And often these can swaying wildly in a few days. But, when the majority of the ‘better’ models all start giving the same prediction, then we should assume that something is seriously a potential, However, that is all it is; it’s not fact as things can change. Weather and climate are so complex that we don’t understand them.

How many times have we been told that arctic sea ice would be gone or the Uk would not see snow again. If these weather models struggle with timescales of even 3-5 days, how can we seriously trust models projecting 20/30/50/100 YEARS into the future? Yet so many do :lol:
 


Giraffe

VERY part time moderator
Helpful Moderator
NSC Patreon
Aug 8, 2005
26,456
You can take the piss as much as you like but look back at the thread and you can see I have been proved to be right 99% of the time as I will this time as well as fck all will happen

Scott Mcgleish strikes again.
 






Djmiles

Barndoor Holroyd
Dec 1, 2005
12,060
Kitchener, Canada
Very good indeed! Could be carnage down here if this was to come off!
 








Papa Lazarou

Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Jul 7, 2003
18,840
Worthing
Just looked at the output and, wow, just wow. IF this materialises, next weekend could be amazing (assuming you like a bit of recreational white stuff). Oh, but the suns too strong at this time of the year, so it can’t happen eh!

The latest GFS Op is stunning

tempresult_hcj4.gif
 


Djmiles

Barndoor Holroyd
Dec 1, 2005
12,060
Kitchener, Canada
When is this potential carnage going to hit ? I’m flying back to the UK next Friday.......

You’ll be fine for Friday, the fun looks like starting next Sunday (at the moment).
 











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