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I never said it was likely so don't shoot messenger; just responding to BG's comment that we are safe with one point; mathematically that is untrue. For benefit of doubt, I am 95% sure we are safe.

No, that is incorrect. If we get one more point, Swansea can get 39 from 2 wins, but lose to Saints who can then surpass us with 7 (or possibly 6 with GD). Draw against Man U would be great result but not a mathematically safe one.

Don't quite get the Swansea/Southampton part. They can both overtake us if we lose all 3 (and even if we draw one), if the game between them is not a draw and the loser wins their other two games; not a massive likelihood but possible.