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Surely the whole point of sport is that anticipating outcomes based on previous average outcomes is pointless because it doesn't work like that?

Yes, but Stoke and Southampton were playing top 6. Problem with all these statto threads is that you need to weight for games against top 6, and it then becomes fiendishly difficult. I think you can only look at our run-in and think it will be amazing if we get more than 4 points, very...