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Fair point about the black market, not something I had considered. Although, if people are willing to sell illicit goods today to someone who is 25, they are going to sell legal goods to someone who is 25, but legally needs to be 26 in x years time.

IMO better solutions would be: Announce today that from 1st Jan 2030 (for eg) that all tobacco will be banned; or Incrementally increase the tax on tobacco products over the next 5-years.