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That's 17th place increasing from a current 0.96 ppg to 1.03 ppg, a 7% increase, or 12 points in 10 games at 1.2 ppg a 25% increase over previous form? Edit: I guess those teams on 27 points currently having an easier run in?

So they reckon 39 points to stay up (38 with GD), seems high?