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Its a close vote, and assuming we have a 'reasonable' cross section at least of the male population of this country, I would say you only need a continuation of the migration shambles seen across the east and south of this continent, and I suspect those figures will shift in favour of BREXIT.

Metaphorically speaking of course Mr Pedant. It is the key issue that will dictate the way the 'popular' vote goes. Never mind the politically and economically aware minorities, the majority vote on the popular issue of dicussion, and that IS and WILL be the migration issue. Dont forget, once...

If the vote was tomorrow, probably 55-45 in favour of leaving, as the vote is in 2017 then I think it may be a bit heavier in favour of leaving 70-30, mainly because the migrant crisis will reach epic proportions over the next 5 years and despite the obvious trading and investment benefits...