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Yes, 2/3, as I said.

Er, no it's not. The chances of getting any specific one of the numbers is 2/3 (as in, you'll get it 2 times out of 3). That's also not how it works Harry.

You have earned a pedant star. Well, it's New Year and I'm feeling generous.

Not me. I've no idea what our chances really are, but it feels like an impossible task. Liverpool don't seem likely to get someone sent off early doors, which would be our best chance, and even then I wouldn't be confident.