Er I don't understand your logic at all: you acknowledge he's only one of ten outfield players, that you have only watched him closely once for 25 mins (vs Arsenal!) and would need to do so more often & that you can't assess his value to the team etc.
Then you go on on to say that the club...
Presumably there's a load of people who went large on Albion not winning once they saw the pre KO line up? Congratulations on your winnings you wise, wise lot.