I'm looking at it in terms of 15 minute segments. There are 6 of them in the match (ignoring injury time) and if we can match City for several of those that would be a success.
So if we get to 15 minutes at 0-0 then we've done well. Then we go again for the next 15.
6 - 1 against Huddesfield; we want to be better than them.
3 - 0 against Fulham
2 - 0 against Newcastle
So on average, Man City scoring 3.66 goals, and the opposition scoring 0.3.