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That swing assumes we are still only 6 clear of Leeds when we visit Elland Road. If we win Friday and our game in hand and Leeds drop points at the weekend we could be 11-12 points clear by Tuesday night. This also assumes Leeds and Newcastle go on a ridiculous run of wins whilst we falter...

My general rule of thumb is at the top end (unless someone has an absolute collapse) a team in top form can gain about a point per game. In your example over 6 games Leeds (who are currently going through a period of amazing form) have clawed back 1 point on us. For us to stay down they...