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I get all of that and until the last game of the season there's no way I'd try to defend the methodology as anywhere near a precise science. Said it before but I see it more as a 'what if' then a 'predictor' ... looking at it that way it works perfectly :)

As I said to Trigg's I do adjust as I go along to take account of form, injuries, suspensions etc and I don't disagree that the points may be a bit high but (from experience) the 'upsets' do tend to spread temselves fairly evenly, particulalry at this stage of the season. You're right about...

Some and some. I genuinely think we'll be Newcastle now (we looked much more assured yesterday than I expected and I'm assuming Gayle will be out which I see as a big loss for them) As for Forest it was a bit of a contingency but we really should beat them. . I don't think any of these...

To some extent, form, injuries, suspensions but mostly my confidence (Newcastle now a win vs a draw before yesterday) Also like to think I keep a bit of contingency but that's very debatable.

Why wait? 98 Chickens, more than enough!

Hudders and our remaining fixtures are remarkabely similar bith in terms of the teams we have to play and the average position of all teams left to play (ours 'easier' at 13.7 vs their 12.9) Said this before but looking deeper there are those games where you can't see beyond 3 points and those...

Newcastle really are a class above and we have done really well to keep with them. Complacency aside (and excluding ourselves) a case could be made for them winning virtually every game, looking at their fixtures it's difficult to see where they will slip up. Also imagine they've got an eye on...

Really can't see Hudders featuring