One FACT is that, uniquely, this franchise has been designed to ensure that the train operator's finances are not affected, even if they don't carry any passengers at all. Fares income goes direct to the government, who are prepared to see the service lose as much money as anyone cares to see...
No. It's about the government instructing Southern to break the Trade Unions. Once Southern have done that, the expectation is that the other train operators will follow suit.