I think you're probably right. Rafa's nous and ability to get the odd freak result (Man U) should keep Newcastle up though. But I agree that they have a worse squad than us or Huddersfield.
Every predictor thing I've done relegates Stoke and Southampton.
West Brom are this year's Sunderland. Ageing overpaid squad, can't score, discipline problems, can't defend. They'd be my tip for double relegation. If Pardew stays it's almost nailed on.
Stoke would do ok in the Championship.