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Far too simplistic. That assumes that the EU decision will determine which way everyone votes - there clearly will be some people who think that way but there will be many who won't. For example, if there were an election tomorrow I would vote for Caroline Lucas: her views on Europe are...

No, it was Conservative in 2014. While it's true that Lib Dems won three elections between 1997 and 2005, it's slightly misleading to say it's LibDem territory. That's when the Tories were in a bit of a state and lost all sorts of solid Tory seats (like Lewes for example). Before 1997, Richmond...

Liberal left? Goldsmith had a 23,000 majority, it was one of the safest Tory seats in the country and Labour lost its deposit. You've clearly been to Richmond but I spent three years working there and it's very, very affluent.