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Well I did try to tell you all............. :)

Well I did tell you all ages ago....... :) Original Prediction at this stage Brighton 87 Newcastle 86 Huddersfield 80 Reading 73 Leeds 74 Actual Brighton 86 (-1) Newcastle 84 (-2) Huddersfield 74 (-6) Reading 73 Leeds 72 (-2) The only surprise v the predictor is Huddersfield have fallen...

Would like to think Massive will step up for once, but really doubt it.

On paper it does, but I think Fulham will be well clear of MASSIVE by then!

Incredible choking, on an almost unprecedented level. Really hard to believe given they have a million fans at each game, home and away.

I'd also add, from the original prediction at this stage the table should be: Newcastle 82 (+1 from actual) Brighton 81 (+1 from actual) Huddersfield 76 (+5 from actual) So pretty accurate for ourselves and Toon and Huddersfield clearly let down by Saturday's disaster! And in other news...

As I've said from the beginning, its not about the points total, which I always said was over inflated, it is about the GAP. That's the theory behind these kind of predictions because what it was highlighting was the difficulty of the run in for each team and nothing else. By way of a quick...

And this now makes the final position:

Quick update on this. Against the original spreadsheet prediction this is how we are all looking against where we should be. With the exception of the collapse of Wednesday and Norwich it's fairly accurate so far: Original Current Newcastle 79 Newcastle 78 (one point...

Well after some erratic results from all of the contenders other than Huddersfield, this is the current update. Newcastle's win at ours (which was predicted as a draw) was a big swing and hence the predicted gap to them has gone. It therefore ends with us and Newcastle locked on 98 points...

Remember this is based on: If at home to top ten - draw If at home to anyone else - win If away to top twelve - draw If away to anyone else - win A logical, unbiased view of the remaining fixtures.

Updated again after the conclusion of this weekends matches. Below par results for Newcastle, Reading (wahey) and Sheffield Wednesday and above par results for us and Leeds, means that we are going to walk this division now :) And Huddersfield will pip Newcastle. Remaining play offs still...

I think even my spreadsheet will be closer than this!

Updated now after the recent fixtures. Unexpected wins for us v Barnsley and Huddersfield v Reading mean we are charging ahead as champions with Huddersfield now edging out Newcastle. We only need a couple of draws from next two games to maintain this.

The highlight of this post is the last two words (in number), an important clarification. And I can see all of that happening, although perhaps a Shetland pony rather than a horse for our Tony.

Interesting that that also shows three teams on 90+ points.

See above! The purpose of the analysis is to highlight the difference in toughness of games as opposed to the points number or games won or lost. :rolleyes:

Exactly this. Completely agree with this. It was something that clearly happened in the run in last season as well. Agreed, good summary of what I was trying to achieve.

Worth noting if this happens we will be promoted away to Norwich, and crowned champions at home to Bristol City. What a lovely week that would be. :)

The thing is whilst I accept the total points are probably overstated, what we have shown this season is we are very good at dispatching the lesser teams. In that last eight games we are playing seven teams currently in the bottom half: Blackburn 23rd Birmingham 14th QPR 19th Wolves 18th Wigan...