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What a surprise that COG is the top of this list! https://mobile.twitter.com/i/web/status/805852707122741252

Interesting new graphic up at e361. Shows form, quality chances created, quality chances faced. We are top currently, despite the fact that our performances haven't been the best. There is a Prem one there as well, if anyone was wondering who had the worst form of the PL... From the site...

It's based on a combination of chances created, the quality of those chances, the type of chances that we defend against, both successfully and unsuccessfully. It takes into consideration who is yet to play who. Which is why in some circumstances you see aberrations in the graphs - because...

By way of comparison, in Jan last year (the closest 'e rating' update I could find) he was predicting a 10% chance of automatics and nearly 70% play off. https://experimental361.com/2016/01/16/e-ratings-update-championship-16-jan-2016/

Some interesting updates recently. He's got a chart showing the current number of matches since each club has scored first and then gone on to lose the match. Our last loss after scoring first was 3-2 v Forest in Feb '15. Since then, if we score first, we win or draw. Currently we have the...

Yeah I agree. The site posted a difficulty matrix based on leading bookies odds, based on this we've played two tough games (Derby and Newcastle), three easy and four other. Brentford are ranked 13th based on odds. https://experimental361.files.wordpress.com/2016/06/ch-16-17-frd1.png Bristol...

True, not all shots are equal - his model takes this into account, it values shots based on how likely that sort of shot is to go in, you see that penalties are massive jumps on the graphs as much more often than not, they end in a goal. Long range speculative shots aren't worth anywhere near...

None of the above. It doesn't mean anything is or is not going to happen, it's just about the number of quality chances (according to this dude) versus the defence and how well a given l team has done. If you look at the little charts that show chances per game it's quite interesting (for me)...

I LOVE experimental 3-6-1. Surprised we don't see more charts on here (whilst we are performing anyway). Across the season, if you follow it he is saying that team X over or under performed against the average or was lucky / unlucky based on the type of shots they took. Currently it sound as...