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Simon Kirby is an interesting one. His circulars during the last few years have been keen to show his work in the local area, but rarely mention that he is a Conservative. He must have a reason for that. I expect Labour to retake Kemptown, but perhaps not by much. The campaign band waggon is in...

Tight majority, but the Tories have lost a lot of votes to UKIP in Eastbourne. I expect him to be re-elected. Edit: In fact, if the most recent Ashcroft poll is anything to go by: http://lordashcroftpolls.com/2015/01/eastbourne/

Indeed. For example, as you saw on my thread in Facebook, Guinness Boy regards her as the 'best constituency MP in the country', yet I know he is no fan of the Green Party, especially locally. Unlike myself, who's, sometimes misplaced, loyalty is unswerving.

Very possible. I remember, in 2010, telling people that the Greens had a real prospect of taking the seat. I remember a work colleague saying that they would now vote for Caroline Lucas on that evidence. This suggests that the Green vote has far from peaked, given the evidence of the council...

Well, the recent demographics, and both the national and local election results suggest that it has. The Tories polled 46% of the vote in 1992, it has dropped to a mean average of 25% since.

I'm sure that most would be more than happy with that as an alternative... :lolol:

Realistically, the Tories have no chance in Pavilion these days. They know that. It's a two way seat. The same as those either sides, but with Labour and the Greens on this occasion.

The Conservative described the UKIP candidate as deluded, then suggested it was a three way marginal......