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  1. Audax

    86 Points will be enough

    Yes, two wins and a draw mathematically seals it. But two wins is all we need in the real world, unless the world gets turned upside down. I know it's mathematically possible for Hudds to beat us on GD, but it's not realistic. We're 30 to the good on them, with 11 games to play between us...
  2. Audax

    86 Points will be enough

    Not yet. They're blowing so hot and cold it'll depend on which Norwich shows up. Also note that I said "on paper" - I've deliberately only looked at some stats to draw up that post. Excel doesn't do subjective :laugh:. Norwich has the potential to be the toughest game remaining (other than...
  3. Audax

    86 Points will be enough

    Indeed. Revised my spreadsheet to use most recent 5 as the form guide. We're that late in the season, and with enough variation in form, that it makes sense to use the shorter period. I'm now comparing us vs Hudds and us vs Newcastle for the run home. Both Hudds and Newcastle, on full-season...
  4. Audax

    86 Points will be enough

    Yeah, I was looking at last 10 matches with that (and across that 10, Derby's form is poor even with the last 3). Last three, though, they look to be coming out of the slump. Notts and Birmingham though ... both with just 6 points from their last 10. As well as they may or may not be playing...
  5. Audax

    86 Points will be enough

    This end of the season, I think there's a lot more than just Home and Away that comes into the reckoning. You also need to look at what each side still has to play for, and what their recent form has been like. That run in that Hudds have isn't going to be easy: 1. Preston and Fulham are both...
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